Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Charentsavan City Stadium (Charentsavan) 🌤️ ...


	Van		Ararat

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.20	2.15
	2.45	3.10	2.48
	2.99	3.35	2.34
	2.51	3.44	2.51	Watch
	3.00	3.45	2.25	Watch
	2.90	3.25	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.48)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	2.31 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Van
32.7%

Draw
27.7%

Ararat
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28.8%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Van has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ararat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Van than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ararat than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Van - Ararat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ayvazyan P. (G) 15. Akanni A. S. 7. Avetisyan P. (C) 99. Jesus R. 21. Lweendo C. 36. Makhsudyan V. 10. Manukyan N. 19. Minasyan V. 91. Polonskyi D. 17. Sammani K. 33. Voskanyan T.	1. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 11. Alaverdyan N. 30. Aslanyan A. 18. Berte M. 6. Chukwu O. 10. Grigoryan A. (C) 7. Handzongo P. 3. Khachumyan A. 55. Lima G. 17. Movsesyan E. 4. Samsonyan V.
Substitutes
90. Ajanda I. 13. Alex 28. Boukari K. 77. Brayann Santiago 27. Gaba J. 59. Gyurjinyan H. (G) 53. Hakobyan A. 11. Karapetyan A. 25. Mensah E. 9. Sargsyan T. 2. Torres J. 20. Viana I.	77. Aleksanyan A. 8. Aleqyan P. 94. Bakayoko S. J. 42. Fofana M. 9. Hovhannisyan B. 38. Kante M. 13. Lobusov N. (G) 20. Meite A. 70. Mkrtchyan A. 25. Ouattara A. 19. Toure S. 32. Ukadike D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Chukwu O. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Jesus R. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 10th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Van has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Van against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ararat	11	3	2	6	10:18	-8	11
9	Van	11	3	1	7	10:27	-17	10

Last Results with these Odds

Van - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Van
Armenian Premier League
17.10.26	Urartu Yerevan - Van	5:2 ✺
10.10.26	Van - Gandzasar	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Noah Yerevan - Van	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Van - BKMA Yerevan	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Alashkert - Van	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL
- Ararat Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
17.10.26	Ararat - Shirak Gyumri	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Ararat - Syunik	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gandzasar - Ararat	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Ararat - Ararat-Armenia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
04.04.26	Ararat - Van	1:2
07.03.26	Van - Ararat	1:2
09.08.25	Ararat - Van	0:1
08.05.25	Ararat - Van	2:1
05.11.24	Van - Ararat	4:0
23.09.24	Ararat - Van	0:3
26.04.24	Ararat - Van	1:1

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