Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 20

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Leruma United		Baroka

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.85
	4.49	3.55	1.76
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (2.76)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	1.81 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leruma United
22.1%

Draw
27.1%

Baroka
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

27.2%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leruma United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leruma United's form might have worsened.

Baroka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baroka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leruma United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leruma United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baroka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leruma United - Baroka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Baroka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Baroka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leruma United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leruma United
South African First Division
23.02.25	Upington City - Leruma United	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Hungry Lions - Leruma United	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Leruma United - Black Leopards	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	JDR Stars - Leruma United	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Leruma United - Orbit College	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWLL
- Baroka FC
South African First Division
22.02.25	Baroka - Durban City	2:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
15.02.25	Orlando Pirates - Baroka	3:1 ✺
South African First Division
09.02.25	Baroka - University of Pretoria	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Venda - Baroka	5:1 ✺
18.01.25	Baroka - Hungry Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
09.11.24	Baroka - Leruma United	3:1

Leruma United - Baroka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide