Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 8

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toyota Stadium (Bloemfontein) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Atcho P. (Gab)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub
Finland	19:00	Veikkaus TV
France	18:00	L'Equipe Live Foot
India	21:30	FanCode, FanCode
Kenya	19:00	Gotv
Netherlands	18:00	Canal+, ESPN 3
Nigeria	17:00	NTA Sports
North Macedonia	18:00	MaxTV GO
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV4
Saudi Arabia	19:00	Shahid
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, Sportklub
Slovenia	18:00	Sportklub
South Africa	18:00	SABC 1, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4
Usa	12:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
International	16:00	FIFA+


	South Africa		Nigeria

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.9	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.95
	2.68	2.72	2.98
	2.67	2.86	2.87
	2.92	2.63	2.88	Watch
	2.71	2.93	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.2)	2.82 ↓ (3.15)	2.91 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Africa
34.5%

Draw
33.3%

Nigeria
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

29.9%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Nigeria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nigeria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	38.1%	23.8%

South Africa - Nigeria Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Nigeria will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for South Africa: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. South Africa (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nigeria (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Nigeria (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - South Africa (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. South Africa (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Nigeria (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Williams R. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns 18. Mdunyelwa Z. Mamelodi Sundowns 21. Ngezana S. FCSB 14. Mbokazi M. Orlando Pirates 20. Kabini S. Molde 4. Mokoena T. Mamelodi Sundowns 15. Aubaas B. J. Mamelodi Sundowns 23. Nkota M. Al Ettifaq FC 17. Mbule S. Orlando Pirates 7. Appollis O. Orlando Pirates 9. Foster L. Burnley	23. Nwabali S. (G) Chippa Utd. 2. Aina O. Nottingham 13. Godwin F. Mjondalen 5. Troost-Ekong W. (C) Al Kholood 21. Bassey C. Fulham 4. Ndidi W. Besiktas 14. Dele-Bashiru F. Lazio 15. Simon M. Paris FC 17. Iwobi A. Fulham 7. Lookman A. Atalanta 19. Dessers C. Panathinaikos
Substitutes
16. Chaine S. (G) Orlando Pirates 22. Goss R. (G) Siwelele 19. Le Roux L. Portsmouth 5. Mbatha T. Orlando Pirates 6. Modiba A. Mamelodi Sundowns 10. Mofokeng R. Orlando Pirates 3. Moloisane T. Stellenbosch FC 2. Monyane T. Kaizer Chiefs 99. Ndamane K. TS Galaxy 98. Rayners I. Mamelodi Sundowns 8. Sebelebele K. Orlando Pirates 11. Shabalala M. Kaizer Chiefs	1. Adeleye A. (G) Volos 22. Agu F. Werder Bremen 10. Arokodare T. Wolves 6. Awaziem C. Nantes 11. Chukwueze S. Fulham 91. Obasogie A. (G) Fasil Kenema 20. Onyedika R. Club Brugge 8. Onyeka F. Brentford 3. Onyemaechi B. Olympiacos Piraeus 12. Osayi-Samuel B. Birmingham 18. Uche C. Crystal Palace
Coaches
Broos H.	Chelle E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Aina O. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
18', Ngezana S. 🟨,
18', Lookman A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Troost-Ekong W. (Own goal),
44', 1 - 1, Bassey C. ⚽, Dele-Bashiru F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dessers C. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
46', Troost-Ekong W. ↓, Onyemaechi B. ↑,
48', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
63', Mdunyelwa Z. ↓, Monyane T. ↑,
70', Ndidi W. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
78', Simon M. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
82', Mokoena T. 🟨,
84', Mbokazi M. ↓, Mbatha T. ↑,
84', Appollis O. ↓, Sebelebele K. ↑,
90', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
90+4', Foster L. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 1.

South Africa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

South Africa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Africa
FIFA World Cup
05.09.25	Lesotho - South Africa	0:3 ✺
African Nations Championship
18.08.25	South Africa - Uganda	3:3 ✺
15.08.25	Niger - South Africa	0:0 ✺
11.08.25	South Africa - Guinea	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Algeria - South Africa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTTWT
- Nigeria
FIFA World Cup
06.09.25	Nigeria - Rwanda	1:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
19.08.25	Nigeria - Congo	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Sudan - Nigeria	4:0 ✺
05.08.25	Senegal - Nigeria	1:0 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Russia - Nigeria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
07.06.24	Nigeria - South Africa	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
07.02.24	Nigeria - South Africa	2:1 penalties
10.07.19	Nigeria - South Africa	2:1
17.11.18	South Africa - Nigeria	1:1
10.06.17	Nigeria - South Africa	0:2
Friendly
29.03.15	South Africa - Nigeria	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.14	Nigeria - South Africa	2:2

South Africa - Nigeria