Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Levadia Stadium (Levadia)

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Poland	SportKlub
Usa	SportPlus


	Levadiakos		PAOK

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.86	Watch
	4.2	3.55	1.84
	3.88	3.78	1.93
	6.04	3.83	1.55	Watch
	4.03	3.52	1.87	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (6.45)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	1.82 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadiakos
21.9%

Draw
25.9%

PAOK
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

24.4%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

23.8%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadiakos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadiakos's performance.

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadiakos than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadiakos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	20%	55%

Levadiakos - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Levadiakos will win (votes: 5 - 25%). PAOK will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 2 - 40%). PAOK (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - PAOK (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadiakos (votes: 2 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lodygin Y. (G) 6. Tsapras T. 24. Liagas P. (C) 32. Magnusson H. 3. Vichos P. 23. Cokaj E. 18. Kosti I. 34. Palacios S. 11. Balzi G. 77. Verbic B. 9. Ozbolt A.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 32. Taylor G. 6. Lovren D. 16. Kedziora T. 27. Ozdoev M. 8. Meite S. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 18. Ivanusec L. 11. Taison 7. Giakoumakis G.
Substitutes
4. Abu Hanna J. 88. Anacker L. (G) 22. Filon T. 85. Goumas K. 19. Jallow L. 21. Juric S. 2. Katris G. 14. Manthatis G. 15. Pedrozo F. 31. Symelidis P. 36. Tshibola A. 37. Tsivelekidis G.	21. Baba A. R. 22. Bianco A. 2. Camara M. 9. Chalov F. 52. Chatsidis D. 77. Despodov K. 88. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 5. Michailidis G. 56. Mythou A. 23. Sastre J. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 4. Vogliacco A.
Coaches
Papadopoulos N.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Kosti I. ⚽,
30', Kedziora T. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Ozdoev M. ⚽, Ivanusec L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 1, Verbic B. ⚽, Palacios S. (A),
55', 2 - 2, Ozdoev M. ⚽, Lovren D. (A),
60', Taylor G. ↓, Baba A. R. ↑,
60', Kedziora T. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
61', Ivanusec L. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
66', Balzi G. ↓, Tshibola A. ↑,
73', Ozdoev M. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
77', Meite S. 🟥,
77', Lovren D. 🟨,
83', Despodov K. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
83', Verbic B. ↓, Pedrozo F. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Giakoumakis G. ⚽, Taison (A),
90+2', Kosti I. ↓, Manthatis G. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 1.

Levadiakos is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PAOK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PAOK is the team to beat.

There will not play in Levadiakos: Layous H. (Inactive) Tsivelekidis G. (Inactive)

There will not play in PAOK: Camara M. (Ankle Injury) Konstantelias G. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levadiakos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:38. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Levadiakos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadiakos FC
Greek Super League
24.11.25	Volos - Levadiakos	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Levadiakos - Panserraikos	5:2 ✺
02.11.25	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	0:2 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	Levadiakos - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.10.25	Levadiakos - Aris	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWT
- PAOK FC
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	PAOK - Brann	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
23.11.25	PAOK - AE Kifisia	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	PAOK - Young Boys	4:0 ✺
Greek Super League
02.11.25	Panserraikos - PAOK	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Cup
17.09.25	Levadiakos - PAOK	4:1
Greek Super League
26.01.25	PAOK - Levadiakos	1:0
06.10.24	Levadiakos - PAOK	0:2
30.01.23	PAOK - Levadiakos	3:2
09.10.22	Levadiakos - PAOK	1:1
21.04.19	PAOK - Levadiakos	5:0
17.12.18	Levadiakos - PAOK	1:2

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