Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 4

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Moan Fritidspark (Levanger)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)


	Levanger		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.2
	2.6	3.4	2.37
	2.8	3.6	2.35
	2.74	3.73	2.38
	2.74	3.73	2.39
	2.62	3.5	2.25
	2.67	3.5	2.37
	2.65	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.26)	3.57 ↓ (3.66)	2.33 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levanger
34.6%

Draw
25.9%

Kongsvinger
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

25.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levanger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Levanger's form might have worsened.

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kongsvinger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levanger than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levanger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kongsvinger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Levanger - Kongsvinger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saetra M. (G) 19. Pereira J. 32. Sundnes S. 2. Pollen D. 22. Hagbo S. 8. Teigen A. 6. Saugestad S. 10. Aas J. 7. Hajdari E. (C) 14. Gunnes A. 11. Bojadzic S.	1. Stromberg A. (G) 22. Langrekken L. 3. Thorkelsson R. 5. Holme F. 19. Nielsen E. 23. Vinjor M. 6. Holter H. (C) 7. Taylor E. 20. Grundt J. 14. Haren L. 11. Williams N.
Substitutes
9. Andersen G. 3. Bjeglerud W. 1. Henriksen E. (G) 5. Lorentsen H. 16. Olsen T. 21. Stakset H. S. 4. Ugelvik A. 18. Ulstad K. 20. Wenneberg M.	15. Eriksen M. 12. Mbow M. 8. Moberg V. 2. Nilsson J. 48. Sandstad A. 31. Sayouba M. (G) 16. Trengereid M.
Coaches
Ronning P.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Williams N. ⚽, Haren L. (A),
9', Bojadzic S. 🟨,
10', 0 - 2, Langrekken L. ⚽, Williams N. (A),
43', Taylor E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hagbo S. ↓, Lorentsen H. ↑,
46', Lorentsen H. 🟨,
51', Langrekken L. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Bojadzic S. ⚽, Aas J. (A),
59', Williams N. ↓, Moberg V. ↑,
66', Langrekken L. ↓, Nilsson J. ↑,
73', Sundnes S. ↓, Andersen G. ↑,
82', Haren L. 🟨,
88', Haren L. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
90+2', Nilsson J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Levanger won 3.

Levanger in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kongsvinger is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Levanger won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Levanger won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levanger FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.04.24	Bryne - Levanger	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Mosjøen - Levanger	0:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.24	Levanger - Moss	5:0 ✺
01.04.24	Åsane - Levanger	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Levanger - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWTW
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.04.24	Kongsvinger - Egersund	3:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Nybergsund - Kongsvinger	0:8 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.04.24	Lyn - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.24	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.08.18	Levanger - Kongsvinger	1:1
10.06.18	Kongsvinger - Levanger	2:1
17.09.17	Levanger - Kongsvinger	2:1
10.06.17	Kongsvinger - Levanger	0:1
25.09.16	Kongsvinger - Levanger	1:2
29.05.16	Levanger - Kongsvinger	2:2

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