Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Bislett Stadium (Oslo)

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Lyn		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	2.92	3.6	2.22	Watch
	3.14	3.75	2.3
	3.02	3.35	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.2
	2.97	3.52	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.5)	3.51 ↓ (3.54)	2.24 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyn
31.6%

Draw
26.6%

Kongsvinger
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kongsvinger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongsvinger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lyn - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lyn will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedersen A. (G) 55. Haugen S. 4. Sell W. (C) 6. Midtskogen A. 18. Nilsen H. 21. Skaug J. 22. Kurtovic W. 24. Fredriksen D. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 7. Monglo I.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 15. Lysell V. 18. Flores M. 11. Job D.
Substitutes
25. Andersen M. (G) 27. Barnett I. 10. Johansen M. 26. Sawaneh E. 30. Sock F. 15. Vik Buet G. 5. Vik I.	28. Christiansen R. 1. Da Rocha W. (G) 29. Fjellman P. 6. Hansen A. 22. Langrekken L. 5. Lysgard D. 24. Overby A. 16. Udnaes P.
Coaches
Aadland M.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Lysell V. ⚽, Dybevik A. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Sande M. ⚽, Job D. (A),
45+1', Nilsen H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Flores M. ↓, Christiansen R. ↑,
63', Skaug J. ↓, Sawaneh E. ↑,
63', Lysell V. ↓, Overby A. ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Christensen F. ⚽,
72', Pedersen A. 🟨,
85', Job D. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
90', Gjerstrom M. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
90+3', Hellum A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In recent matches, Lyn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kongsvinger is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kongsvinger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kongsvinger could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Kongsvinger: 29.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kongsvinger	24	16	5	3	70:35	35	53
10	Lyn	24	8	4	12	39:49	-10	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.05.26	Raufoss - Lyn	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Lyn - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
26.04.26	Moss - Lyn	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Lyn - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Sogndal - Lyn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.05.26	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Kongsvinger - Egersund	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Strømmen - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Kongsvinger - Moss	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Raufoss - Kongsvinger	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.10.25	Lyn - Kongsvinger	0:1
24.05.25	Kongsvinger - Lyn	2:1
17.11.24	Lyn - Kongsvinger	1:2 ET
11.08.24	Kongsvinger - Lyn	1:1
07.04.24	Lyn - Kongsvinger	1:1

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