Match Info

LaLiga - Round 26

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match! Premier, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Levante		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.75
	2.72	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.81	3.15	2.83
	2.75	3.11	2.77	Watch
	2.63	3	2.8
	2.8	3.16	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.64)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.79 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
35.1%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Alavés
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	60%	23.3%

Levante - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 62.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Alavés (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Levante (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Alavés (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Levante (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Alavés (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela (C) 2. Moreno M. 23. Sanchez M. 14. Raghouber U. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 26. Tunde K. 24. Alvarez C. 27. Cortes P. 9. Romero I.	1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 24. Parada V. 7. Perez A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 10. Alena C. 15. Boye L. 11. Martinez T.
Substitutes
55. Abed T. 1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Espi C. 21. Etta Eyong K. 17. Garcia V. 18. Losada I. 3. Matturro A. 11. Morales J. 29. Perez N. 20. Rey O. 6. Varela Pampin D. 12. Vencedor U.	20. Calebe 22. Diabate I. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 2. Garces F. 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 34. Manas A. 23. Protesoni C. 21. Rebbach A. 4. Suarez D. 3. Yusi
Coaches
Castro L.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Parada V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Cortes P. 🟨,
58', Alvarez C. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
58', Raghouber U. ↓, Rey O. ↑,
61', Parada V. 🟨,
61', Alena C. 🟨,
63', Martinez T. ↓, Garces F. ↑,
69', Cortes P. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
72', Alena C. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
79', Tunde K. ↓, Losada I. ↑,
79', Romero I. ↓, Etta Eyong K. ↑,
80', Boye L. 🟨,
88', Sivera A. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Espi C. ⚽,
90', Perez A. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
90+1', Blanco A. ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
90+4', Ibanez P. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Espi C. ⚽, Etta Eyong K. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 1.

Levante has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alavés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Levante: Arriaga K. (Red Card) Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Martinez P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alavés: Diaz M. (Coach's decision) Koski V. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Levante won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.4% Levante: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8:12	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Levante - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.26	Barcelona - Levante	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Levante - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Levante - Valencia	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Levante	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Levante - Atlético Madrid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLT
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.01.26	Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
16.08.25	Deportivo Alavés - Levante	2:1
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Deportivo Alavés - Levante	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
17.06.23	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ET
11.06.23	Deportivo Alavés - Levante	0:0
29.04.23	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0
12.12.22	Deportivo Alavés - Levante	0:2
Spanish LaLiga
15.05.22	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	3:1

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