Match Info

LaLiga - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Athletic Bilbao		Levante

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.75
	1.58	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.62	4	5.92
	1.59	4.03	5.89	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.5
	1.64	4.12	6.2	Watch
	1.64	3.75	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)	3.92 ↑ (3.78)	5.85 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
59.3%

Draw
24.4%

Levante
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	19.2%	7.7%

Athletic Bilbao - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Levante will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Athletic (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Levante (5.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletic Bilbao will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Levante (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 4. Paredes A. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 18. Jauregizar M. 22. Serrano N. 11. Guruzeta G. 10. Williams N. 9. Williams I. (C)	13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela 3. Matturro A. 23. Sanchez M. 10. Martinez P. (C) 14. Raghouber U. 26. Tunde K. 24. Alvarez C. 9. Romero I. 21. Etta Eyong K.
Substitutes
12. Areso J. 19. Boiro A. 20. Gomez U. 25. Izeta 15. Lekue I. 47. Monreal I. 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 30. Rego A. 44. Sanchez S. 6. Vesga M.	55. Abed T. 16. Arriaga K. 27. Cortes P. 1. Cunat P. (G) 5. Elgezabal U. 19. Espi C. 18. Losada I. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 29. Perez N. 32. Primo A. (G) 20. Rey O. 6. Varela Pampin D.
Coaches
Valverde E.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Matturro A. 🟥,
29', 1 - 0, Guruzeta G. ⚽, Ruiz de Galarreta I. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Guruzeta G. ⚽, Williams I. (A),
39', Berchiche Y. ↓, Boiro A. ↑,
42', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Alvarez C. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
62', Guruzeta G. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
62', Jauregizar M. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
65', Romero I. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
65', Dela ↓, Elgezabal U. ↑,
65', Martinez P. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
66', Paredes A. 🟨,
76', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
76', Williams N. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
77', Toljan J. 🟨,
81', Raghouber U. ↓, Losada I. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Elgezabal U. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Serrano N. ⚽, Sanchez S. (A),
89', Rego A. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Olasagasti J. A. ⚽,
90+8', Tunde K. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
90+8', Serrano N. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
90+9', 4 - 2, Navarro R. ⚽, Williams I. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Athletic is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Berenguer A. (Injury) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Vivian D. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Levante: Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Garcia V. (Injury) Moreno M. (Concussion)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.48% Levante: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8:12	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.63%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.01.26	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLLW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
31.01.26	Levante - Atlético Madrid	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Levante - Elche	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Real Madrid - Levante	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Levante - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla - Levante	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Levante - Athletic Bilbao	0:2
07.03.22	Athletic Bilbao - Levante	3:1
19.11.21	Levante - Athletic Bilbao	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.03.21	Levante - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ET
Spanish LaLiga
26.02.21	Levante - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.02.21	Athletic Bilbao - Levante	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.20	Athletic Bilbao - Levante	2:0

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