Match Info

USA: USL LEAGUE ONE

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Lexington		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.92	3.25	2.37
	2.92	3.19	2.37
	2.86	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.63)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
32.2%

Draw
28.7%

Greenville Triumph
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lexington - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 5. Fox K. 7. Cano I. 9. Liadi A. 6. Caputo A. 12. Corrales J. 32. Diouf A. 10. Onen J. 17. Lancaster C. (C)	23. Garner C. (G) 12. Lee E. 5. Fricke B. 3. Polak T. 4. Smith J. 10. Velasquez S. 8. Herrera C. 16. Corvino P. 9. MacKinnon L. 25. Castro L. 17. Scarlett Z.
Substitutes
14. Balogun K. 77. Brown N. 23. Campuzano N. (G) 98. Loera D. 25. Mane P. 2. Robertson T. 8. Yankam Y.	20. Anderson H. 6. Anguiano C. 15. Hald O. 31. Rankenburg G. (G) 2. Wu D. 7. Zakowski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Fox K. 🟨,
32', Mendez M. 🟨,
42', Velasquez S. ↓, Zakowski B. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 0, Cano I. ⚽, Diouf A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 2 - 0, Lancaster C. ⚽, Liadi A. (A),
65', 2 - 1, Zakowski B. ⚽, Smith J. (A),
80', Knight A. 🟥,
84', 2 - 2, MacKinnon L. ⚽,
90+2', Herrera C. 🟨,
90+4', Herrera C. ↓, Anguiano C. ↑,
90+10', 2 - 3, Fox K. (Own goal),

Preview

Lexington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lexington won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lexington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL League One
23.03.24	One Knoxville - Lexington	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.24	Vermont Green - Lexington	4:3 ✺
USL League One
15.03.24	Lexington - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Lexington - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWTT
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
23.03.24	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
20.03.24	SC United Bantams - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
USL League One
20.10.23	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
14.10.23	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	1:1
01.09.23	Lexington - Greenville Triumph	1:1
22.04.23	Lexington - Greenville Triumph	0:2

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