Match Info

USL League One

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlotte Independence		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.70	3.80
	1.62	3.95	4.15
	1.68	4.24	4.1
	1.7	4.3	4.03
	1.67	4.15	3.95
	1.67	4.48	4.03
	1.62	3.95	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	4.11 ↑ (3.8)	4.02 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
55%

Draw
22.3%

Greenville Triumph
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

23.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 14. Manin R. 5. Romero J. 8. Jaime C. 47. Alvarez L. 24. Amaya J. 2. Ngah F. 10. Bakero J. 26. Marou S. 13. Guffroy M.	13. Knight A. (G) 22. Fritz K. 42. Bubb Z. 5. Fricke B. (C) 15. Patti A. 20. Seagrist P. 27. Nour M. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 19. Liadi A. 10. Akio W.
Substitutes
4. Coulibaly S. 16. Lyons M. 21. Nare T. 22. Riascos K. 3. Skinner J. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)	11. Bouregy J. 7. Boyce D. 12. Lee E. 9. Robles R. 30. Torman S. (G) 23. White E. 14. Wu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Bubb Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Evans C. 🟨,
54', Alvarez L. 🟨,
58', Liadi A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Marou S. ⚽,
71', Fritz K. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
74', Fricke B. 🟨,
76', Liadi A. 🟨,
81', Guffroy M. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
81', Bubb Z. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,
85', Akio W. ↓, Robles R. ↑,
85', Evans C. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
89', Bakero J. ↓, Nare T. ↑,
89', Ngah F. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
90', Herrera C. 🟨,
90+2', Robles R. 🟨,
90+2', Manin R. 🟨,
90+6', Marou S. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3.

Charlotte Ind has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Greenville is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Charlotte Ind is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
01.08.26	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:4 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Charleston Battery - Charlotte Independence	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLLW
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
01.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:3 ✺
29.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Boise	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Corpus Christi - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Fort Wayne - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
24.06.26	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0
USL League One
09.08.25	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	4:5
15.06.25	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0
05.04.25	Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence	1:0
USL Cup
30.08.24	Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence	0:1
10.08.24	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	2:1
USL League One
19.06.24	Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence	2:0

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