Match Info

USL League One

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greenville Triumph		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.3
	2.14	3.3	3.61
	2	3.63	3.4	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	2	3.3	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.81)	3.32 ↓ (3.49)	3.39 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
45.3%

Draw
27.7%

Forward Madison
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

25%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greenville Triumph, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Greenville will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Forward Madison will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 12. Lee E. 5. Fricke B. (C) 15. Patti A. 22. Fritz K. 7. Boyce D. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 20. Seagrist P. 19. Liadi A. 25. Castro L.	1. Harms J. (G) 23. Munjoma E. 5. Shannon J. 20. Carmichael K. 4. McCamy C. 6. Kanyane G. 17. Gebhard D. (C) 16. Castro J. 12. Torres R. 11. Ngoubou C. 14. Gyamfi S.
Substitutes
10. Akio W. 11. Bouregy J. 33. Meek L. 3. Polak T. 9. Robles R. 30. Torman S. (G) 14. Wu D.	7. Bolma J. 9. Carmichael R. 21. Karamoko H. 19. Manske T. (G) 18. Romanshyn K. 8. Segbers M. 33. Toure K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Liadi A. ⚽, Boyce D. (A),
15', Castro L. ↓, Robles R. ↑,
44', Seagrist P. 🟨,
45+2', Boyce D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Liadi A. 🟨,
59', Castro J. ↓, Segbers M. ↑,
59', Gebhard D. ↓, Carmichael R. ↑,
59', Munjoma E. ↓, Bolma J. ↑,
69', Boyce D. ↓, Akio W. ↑,
71', Ngoubou C. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
74', Fritz K. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
79', Herrera C. 🟨,
80', McCamy C. ↓, Toure K. ↑,
83', Toure K. 🟨,
89', Segbers M. 🟨,
90+2', Carmichael K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 1.

Greenville is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Forward Madison has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Greenville has had a series of away games.

Greenville will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Greenville won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
29.05.26	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Forward Madison
USL League One
29.05.26	Forward Madison - Corpus Christi	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Forward Madison - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
USL League One
09.05.26	AV Alta - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Forward Madison	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
20.09.25	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	3:0
12.07.25	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	3:1
04.05.24	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	3:2
23.03.24	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	0:0
29.07.23	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	1:1
01.07.23	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	1:0
15.04.23	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	4:1

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