The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leyton Orient 65.3%
Draw 20.9%
Newport County 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
22.7%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
22.2%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
18.2%
18.2%
Leyton Orient - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 2. James T. 28. Clare S. 6. Cooper B. (C) 3. Sweeney J. 16. Warrington L. 29. Obiero Z. 20. Perkins S. 7. Agyei D. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 22. Galbraith E.
13. Carney J. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. 4. Baker M. 23. Jameson K. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 6. Brennan C. 14. Whitmore K. 22. Wood N. D. 24. Wildig A. (C) 18. Rai K. 31. Jephcott L.
Substitutes
19. Beckles O. 8. Brown J. 34. Chinedu P. 13. Howes S. (G) 23. Kelman C. 21. O'Neill O. 32. Pegrum C. 18. Pratley D. 31. Welch M.
11. Antwi C. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 5. Clarke J. 26. Evans C. 7. Kamwa B. 29. Sanca N. 15. Seberry J. 12. Thomas J. 1. Townsend N. (G)
Coaches
Wellens R.
Jardim N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Agyei D. ⚽, Sweeney J. (A),
45+7', 2 - 0, Jaiyesimi D. ⚽, Clare S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Galbraith E. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Cooper B. ⚽, O'Neill O. (A),
54', Jameson K. 🟨,
59', Jameson K. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
59', Wood N. D. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
59', Clare S. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
59', Agyei D. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
60', Warrington L. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽, Driscoll-Glennon A. (A),
67', Warrington L. ↓, Beckles O. ↑,
70', Rai K. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
70', Brennan C. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Kelman C. ⚽,
88', Jephcott L. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1.
Recent matches Leyton Orient is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Newport has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match Leyton Orient is certain favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-8.