Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.96	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.35	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.21	3.5	2.27
	3.51	2.84	2.31	Watch
	3.34	3.83	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.73)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	2.12 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
28.5%

Draw
27%

Bolton Wanderers
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

28.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leyton Orient's form might have worsened.

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	7.7%	38.5%

Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Bolton (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolton (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 14. Craig M. 4. Simpson J. 8. El Mizouni I. 18. Edmonds-Green R. 21. Moorhouse J. 5. Happe D. (C) 32. Ballard D. 17. Koroma J. 10. Connolly A. 11. Mitchell D.	1. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 4. Simons X. 25. Conway M. 16. Morley A. 6. Johnston G. (C) 48. Burstow M. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 17. Randall J. 11. Gale T.
Substitutes
22. Abdulai A. 19. Beckles O. 33. Cahill K. (G) 28. Clare S. 2. James T. 20. Perkins S. 25. Wellens C.	20. Cissoko I. 10. Dalby S. 21. Erhahon E. 24. Forss M. 27. Miller T. (G) 8. Sheehan J. 18. Toal E.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Schumacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Happe D. ↓, Beckles O. ↑,
28', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
29', Mitchell D. 🟨,
39', Simpson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Craig M. ↓, James T. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Simpson J. ⚽,
71', Moorhouse J. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
71', Koroma J. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
73', Morley A. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
74', Randall J. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
78', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
81', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
81', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
87', Johnston G. 🟨,
89', James T. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1.

Recent performances by Leyton Orient have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bolton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Leyton Orient has had a series of away games.

Recently, Bolton has had a series of home games.

Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Obiero Z. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bolton: Burstow M. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League One
06.09.25	Port Vale - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:3 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Leyton Orient - Northampton Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mansfield Town - Leyton Orient	4:1 ✺
19.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLW
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
06.09.25	Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Blackpool - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Reading	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	2:1
10.08.24	Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers	1:2
20.01.24	Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
23.12.23	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	3:2
English League Two
30.01.21	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	2:0
31.10.20	Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers	4:0

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