Match Info

League Two - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Newport County

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.82	Watch
	2.48	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.51	3.38	2.95
	2.43	3.25	2.86	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.44	3.2	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.08)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	2.84 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
38%

Draw
29.2%

Newport County
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

24.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Cheltenham Town - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Newport will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Newport (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 27. Tomkinson J. 5. Wilson J. (C) 6. Cundy R. 21. Nurse G. 4. Ashfield H. 8. Young L. 23. Hutchinson I. 14. Broom R. 9. Davison J. 11. Thomas J.	28. Wright J. (G) 18. Shephard L. 4. Baker M. (C) 23. Delaney R. 15. Jenkins L. 2. Evans C. 5. Sprangler S. 20. Lloyd B. 10. Biggins H. 16. Crole J. 24. Opoku N.
Substitutes
20. Bickerstaff J. 7. Deeming C. 41. Diallo M. (G) 22. Faal M. 2. Jude-Boyd A. 16. Martin J. 10. Miller G.	6. Brennan C. 17. Davies T. 40. Jarvis C. 7. Kamwa B. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 8. Smith M. 21. Spellman M.
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Fuchs Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Baker M. 🟨,
42', Cundy R. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Davison J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
57', Ashfield H. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
57', Thomas J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
62', Biggins H. 🟨,
68', Evans C. 🟨,
71', Opoku N. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
81', Broom R. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Miller G. ⚽, Faal M. (A),
84', Crole J. 🟨,
85', Lloyd B. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
85', Evans C. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
90+2', Hutchinson I. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 18 and 22).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cheltenham: Harmon G. (Inactive) King T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cheltenham: Stevenson B. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	16:14	2	15
16	Newport	9	2	4	3	12:12	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
14.04.26	Cheltenham Town - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Walsall - Cheltenham Town	0:4 ✺
06.04.26	Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Notts County - Cheltenham Town	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWTLL
- Newport County
English League Two
11.04.26	Newport County - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Notts County - Newport County	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Newport County - Crawley Town	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Newport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Walsall - Newport County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.10.25	Newport County - Cheltenham Town	0:2
22.02.25	Newport County - Cheltenham Town	0:3
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Newport County - Cheltenham Town	1:2
English League Two
10.08.24	Cheltenham Town - Newport County	3:2
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Cheltenham Town - Newport County	0:2
English League Two
01.05.21	Newport County - Cheltenham Town	1:0
19.01.21	Cheltenham Town - Newport County	1:1

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