Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira)


	Leça		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	1.9	3.12	3.75
	1.99	3.05	3.80	Watch
	2	2.8	3.5
	1.95	3.13	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	3.63 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
45.5%

Draw
29.8%

Rebordosa
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Leça - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Leça is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rebordosa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Rebordosa has had a series of away games.

Leça is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leça won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leça won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Rebordosa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.04.26	Leça - Vianense	4:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.04.26	Leça - Vila Real	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Leça - Aparecida	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Resende - Leça	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWT
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.04.26	Bragança - Rebordosa	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.04.26	Florgrade - Rebordosa	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Vila Real - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Vila Meã - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0
14.12.25	Leça - Rebordosa	1:1
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Rebordosa - Leça	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Rebordosa - Leça	1:1
06.11.22	Leça - Rebordosa	1:0

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