The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varzim 47.3%
Draw 28.7%
Marco 09 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
28.5%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Costa P. (G) 27. Boloto 25. Couto J. 17. Filipe L. 4. Kaua Vinicius 19. Morais Guedes A. 8. Oliveira R. 55. Rebelo D. 26. Ruben 99. Silva F. 95. Sousa V.
64. Martins T. (G) 23. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 77. Barrett R. 4. Chicao (C) 8. Erivaldo 10. Garro L. 17. Gata Z. 82. Guerrero J. 9. Ka 6. Pacheco F. 32. Rego R.
Substitutes
11. Benchi D. 6. David Peres 28. Gustavo Ramalho (G) 13. Jordao 10. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 9. Pereira R. 7. Serra Matos P. M. 18. Stitch 44. Vila Cova M.
29. Couto L. 18. Fernandes F. 7. Lobo G. 35. Pedro J. 14. Pedro P. 21. Pedrosa C. 96. Rendeiro R. (G) 28. Sambu A. 26. Ze Couto (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Sousa V. ⚽, Silva F. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Silva F. ⚽, Couto J. (A),
36', Rego R. ↓, Couto L. ↑,
36', Gata Z. ↓, Pedro P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Boloto ↓, Serra Matos P. M. ↑,
65', Silva F. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
68', Pacheco F. ↓, Fernandes F. ↑,
68', Ka ↓, Lobo G. ↑,
70', Couto J. ↓, Jordao ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Pedro P. ⚽, Araujo Guilherme J. L. (A),
75', Kaua Vinicius ↓, Vila Cova M. ↑,
76', Sousa V. ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
81', Lucas Henrique 🟨,
82', Garro L. ↓, Sambu A. ↑,
Preview
Varzim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Varzim might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Varzim - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.56%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.