Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira)


	Leça		Salgueiros 08

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.55
	1.63	3.43	4.63
	1.64	3.53	5.01	Watch
	1.67	3.1	4.8
	1.61	3.4	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	4.87 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
54.8%

Draw
26.7%

Salgueiros 08
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Salgueiros 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Leça - Salgueiros 08 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 3 - 0, ⚽,
71', 🟥,
80', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leça won 2.

Leça is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salgueiros's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Leça is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leça won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leça won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Salgueiros	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.03.26	Beira-Mar - Leça	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Leça - Anadia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gouveia - Leça	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Leça - União Lamas	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWWT
- SC Salgueiros 08
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rebordosa - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Salgueiros 08 - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Resende - Salgueiros 08	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Vila Meã - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:1
30.03.25	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:1
08.12.24	Leça - Salgueiros 08	0:2
26.02.23	Leça - Salgueiros 08	1:2
13.11.22	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	2:1
28.05.22	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	0:0
24.04.22	Leça - Salgueiros 08	3:1

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