Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Liaoning Tieren		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	5.00	5.00	1.46	Watch
	4.60	4.60	1.51
	5.80	4.90	1.43	Watch
	5.07	4.99	1.56
	4.7	4.67	1.57	Watch
	4.90	4.90	1.54
	4.96	4.86	1.51	Watch
	5.00	5.00	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↑ (3.23)	4.87 ↑ (3.88)	1.51 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
18.7%

Draw
19.3%

Shanghai Shenhua
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

24.1%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

23.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liaoning Tieren's form might have worsened.

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Shenhua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Liaoning Tieren - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zhang Yan (G) 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 26. Yuan Mincheng 3. Pan Ximing 34. Zhang H. 18. Li Tixiang 7. Kouame A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 8. Yan Dinghao 47. Jeffinho 11. Chen Binbin	1. Xue Qinghao (G) 16. Yang Zexiang 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 13. Manafa W. 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi (C) 17. Gao Tianyi 10. Teixeira J. 9. Rafael Ratao 19. Asue L.
Substitutes
27. Gao Jiarun 35. Li Haoran 22. Liu G. 30. Pang Shenghan 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 6. Vagic P. 19. Wu Mingyu 13. Xie J. (G) 28. Xu Dong 14. Zang Yifeng	45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 6. Li Songyi 24. Ma Zhen (G) 11. Saulo Mineiro 2. Wang Shilong 38. Wu Qipeng 30. Xie Pengfei 21. Xu Haoyang 26. Yang Shuai 25. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Seo Jung-Won	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Jeffinho ⚽, Yan Dinghao (A),
23', Yang Zexiang 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Kunimoto T. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Teixeira J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gao Tianyi ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
46', Yang Zexiang ↓, Li Songyi ↑,
52', Li Songyi 🟨,
65', Wang Haijian ↓, Saulo Mineiro ↑,
65', Yan Dinghao ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
66', Pan Ximing ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
66', Mawlanniyaz D. ↓, Li Haoran ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Saulo Mineiro (Penalty Awarded),
78', Manafa W. ↓, Wang Shilong ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Jeffinho ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
88', Kunimoto T. ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
90+4', Kouame A. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
90+8', Saulo Mineiro 🟨,
90+8', Yuan Mincheng 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

Recent form of Liaoning Tieren has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Shanghai Shenhua has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Liaoning Tieren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shanghai Shenhua is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Liaoning Tieren: Li Peng (Leg Injury) Mbenza G. (Red Card)

There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Jiang Shenglong (Illness) Ke L. (Injury) Liu Chengyu (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Liaoning Tieren won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	52:46	6	31
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
25.07.26	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao West Coast	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shandong Taishan	1:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Dalian Kewei - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
25.07.26	Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	4:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.07.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Zhejiang Professional	3:2 ✺
28.06.26	Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Shenhua	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
18.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Liaoning Tieren	3:1

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