Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Beijing Guoan		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.00	6.50	Watch
	1.38	5.00	6.00
	1.38	4.90	6.75	Watch
	1.38	5.45	7.17
	1.39	5.22	6.55	Watch
	1.37	5.35	7.05
	1.40	5.25	7.12	Watch
	1.39	5.20	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	5.17 ↑ (5)	6.72 ↑ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
67.9%

Draw
18.1%

Liaoning Tieren
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

17.8%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Beijing Guoan - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Beijing Guoan (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 3. He Yupeng 23. Dawhan 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 20. Nkololo B. 8. Konte A. 7. Serginho 11. Lin Liangming 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning	29. Zhang Yan (G) 34. Zhang H. 15. Felipe 35. Li Haoran 27. Gao Jiarun 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 18. Li Tixiang 11. Chen Binbin 7. Kouame A. 9. Mbenza G. 47. Jeffinho
Substitutes
24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 37. Cao Yongjing 41. Cheng Xi 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng Jiefu 30. Fan Shuangjie 22. Han Jiaqi (G) 36. Jia Feifan 31. Liu S. (G) 17. Yang Liyu 21. Yue Tze-Nam	21. Han Rongze (G) 22. Liu G. 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 30. Pang Shenghan 3. Pan Ximing 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 28. Xu Dong 8. Yan Dinghao 14. Zang Yifeng
Coaches
Montgomery N.	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Konte A. (A),
39', He Yupeng ↓, Abdugheni Abduhamit ↑,
45', Zhang H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Felipe 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Kunimoto T. ⚽, Chen Binbin (A),
63', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
63', Zhang Yuning ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
63', Gao Jiarun ↓, Pan Ximing ↑,
63', Li Tixiang ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
63', Nkololo B. ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
72', Li Haoran ↓, Mawlanniyaz D. ↑,
73', Zang Yifeng 🟨,
83', Kunimoto T. ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,
85', Serginho 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

Beijing Guoan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Liaoning Tieren has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U. (Knee Injury) Wang Gang (Injury) Zhang Xizhe (Injury)

There will not play in Liaoning Tieren: Li Peng (Leg Injury) Yuan Mincheng (Injury)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Wu Shaocong (Injury) Zhang Yuning (Inactive)

We predict that Beijing Guoan will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beijing Guoan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
04.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Beijing Guoan	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
04.07.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shandong Taishan	1:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Dalian Kewei - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
29.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shanghai Port	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Zhejiang Professional - Liaoning Tieren	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
04.04.26	Liaoning Tieren - Beijing Guoan	2:1

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