Match Info

Jia League - Round 25

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Liaoning Tieren		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.4
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.51	3.8	8.55
	1.81	3.39	4.37	Watch
	1.56	3.95	5.72	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)	5.79 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
57.4%

Draw
26.5%

Suzhou Dongwu
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.7%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Suzhou Dongwu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Liaoning Tieren will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liaoning Tieren will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 2. Sun Kangbo 3. Pan Ximing 28. Xu Dong 19. Gao Haisheng 15. Felipe 18. Tian Yinong 14. Zang Yifeng 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 8. Samuel A. 9. Mbenza G.	1. Liu Yu (C) 5. Xu Wu 22. Andrejevic A. 23. Wen Junjie 39. Liu Yue 6. Estrela 29. Chen Ao 17. Bao Shimeng 18. Liang Weipeng 42. Arafat Ghenifa 45. Zhou Dadi
Substitutes
1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 4. Liu Langzhou 32. Mao Kaiyu 21. Nur Sherzat 30. Shi Xiaton (G) 36. Tian Deao 16. Wang Tianci 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun	20. Fan Xulin 9. Fortes C. 8. Gao D. 3. Jiang Zhixin 16. Jin Shang 21. Li Xinyu (G) 31. Wang Yifan 4. Wen Da 19. Wu Junjie 14. Yuan J. 11. Zhang Jingzhe 10. Zhang Lingfeng
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Diaz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Kunimoto T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tian Yinong ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
46', Gao Haisheng ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
47', Wen Junjie 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Zang Yifeng (A),
59', Liang Weipeng ↓, Fortes C. ↑,
59', Zhou Dadi ↓, Fan Xulin ↑,
64', Liu Yue 🟨,
66', Xu Wu ↓, Wen Da ↑,
78', Chen Ao ↓, Zhang Lingfeng ↑,
78', Liu Yue ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
81', Samuel A. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
83', Sun Kangbo 🟨,
86', Wu Junjie 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 2 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
90+1', Zang Yifeng ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
90+2', Zhao Jianbo 🟨,
90+5', Sun Kangbo ↓, Nur Sherzat ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1.

Liaoning Tieren has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Suzhou Dongwu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Liaoning Tieren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Liaoning Tieren is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
27.09.25	Liaoning Tieren - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Liaoning Tieren	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLWW
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
27.09.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ningbo Professional - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
25.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
24.08.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	2:2
06.04.24	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0
05.08.23	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1
29.04.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
29.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1
10.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	2:1

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