Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gran Mamore (Trinidad)

Referee: Revollo J. (Bol)


	Libertad Gran Mamoré		Real Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	4	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.87	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.88	3.86	3.74
	1.87	3.68	3.76	Watch
	1.85	4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.05)	3.72 ↑ (3.58)	3.7 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Gran Mamoré
50%

Draw
24.9%

Real Santa Cruz
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Gran Mamoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Gran Mamoré's performance.

Real Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Gran Mamoré than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Gran Mamoré that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Santa Cruz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Libertad Gran Mamoré - Real Santa Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gran Mamoré will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Real Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vaca M. (G) 46. Aguilera D. 16. Tomicha P. 31. Virreira J. 3. Zazpe L. 37. Salces M. 8. Bejarano A. 26. Rodriguez R. 23. Lemos M. 53. Barbery Gil M. G. 70. Torelli Souza P.	1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 34. Antelo W. 4. Lopez B. 2. Ruano L. 27. Perez J. 6. Ovando M. 26. Vaca Hurtado E. 20. Gutierrez L. 44. Beltran G. 39. Malgor G. 11. Achelus S.
Substitutes
22. Gil S. 30. Gomez Perez J. P. 19. Medina A. 42. Mendieta O. 10. Oni F. 97. Rodriguez F. 33. Sandy D. (G) 27. Taborga Y. 87. Tellez M. 25. Torrez H.	16. Ardaya L. 22. Cardenas I. 24. Choque D. 12. Claros G. (G) 5. Coplot L. 10. Moreno F. 7. Navia A. 14. Ortiz J. 25. Pozo S. 94. Rey A. 33. Rivero J. 32. Soliz M.
Coaches
Pena J. E.	Abrigo M.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 6).

Recent matches Libertad Gran Mamoré is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Santa Cruz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad Gran Mamoré won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Gran Mamoré
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.10.23	Real Tomayapo - Libertad Gran Mamoré	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	Bolívar - Libertad Gran Mamoré	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
16.08.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Royal Pari	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.08.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL
- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.10.23	Real Santa Cruz - Aurora	1:1 ✺
24.08.23	Blooming - Real Santa Cruz	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Real Santa Cruz - Oriente Petrolero	0:5 ✺
13.08.23	The Strongest - Real Santa Cruz	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.08.23	Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
23.04.23	Real Santa Cruz - Libertad Gran Mamoré	3:2

Libertad Gran Mamoré - Real Santa Cruz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide