Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 25

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gran Mamore (Trinidad)

Referee: Flores G. (Bol)


	Libertad Gran Mamoré		Vinto Atlético Palmaflor

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.7	5
	1.77	3.71	4.5
	1.72	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.3)	3.76 ↑ (3.31)	4.61 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Gran Mamoré
54.6%

Draw
25%

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.9%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Gran Mamoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Gran Mamoré's performance.

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinto Atlético Palmaflor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Gran Mamoré than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Gran Mamoré that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinto Atlético Palmaflor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Libertad Gran Mamoré - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gran Mamoré will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vaca M. (G) 22. Gil S. 4. Rodriguez D. 3. Zazpe L. 31. Virreira J. 32. Mendoza M. 23. Lemos M. 26. Rodriguez R. 8. Bejarano A. 53. Barbery Gil M. G. 37. Salces M.	22. Rojas J. (G) 15. Alcocer P. 31. Coronel R. 16. Montero R. 20. Baldomar O. 66. Spenhay R. 14. Vargas J. 8. Lima R. 33. Huasna N. 13. Luna F. 23. Orihuela R.
Substitutes
6. Aleman J. 30. Gomez Perez J. P. 19. Medina A. 42. Montenegro L. 10. Oni F. 9. Rios D. 33. Sandy D. (G) 27. Taborga Y. 87. Tellez M. 16. Tomicha P. 70. Torelli Souza P.	25. Adorno C. (G) 29. Adrian J. 2. Fernandez K. 40. Garcia E. 18. Garzon M. 28. Guerra J. 11. Hurtado Badani L. E. 21. Ortiz M. 6. Serrano M.
Coaches
Pena J. E.	Brizuela C.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 13).

Recent matches Libertad Gran Mamoré is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palmaflor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Palmaflor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Libertad Gran Mamoré is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad Gran Mamoré won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Gran Mamoré
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.08.23	Bolívar - Libertad Gran Mamoré	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
16.08.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Royal Pari	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.08.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
04.08.23	Universitario de Vinto - Libertad Gran Mamoré	1:1 ✺
31.07.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Nacional Potosí	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWLTW
- Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.08.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Aurora	0:1 ✺
14.08.23	Blooming - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Oriente Petrolero	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:0 ✺
23.07.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Royal Pari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
07.04.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Libertad Gran Mamoré	4:1

Libertad Gran Mamoré - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide