Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 16

Date: 25 January 2023, Wednesday


	Lichtenberg		Greifswald

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	1.95
	3.45	3.3	1.97
	3.25	3.6	1.97
	3.7	3.46	2.01
	3.25	3.3	2
	3.56	3.65	1.94
	3.25	3.55	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.33)	3.47 ↑ (3.34)	1.97 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lichtenberg
27.2%

Draw
26.4%

Greifswald
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lichtenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lichtenberg's form might have worsened.

Greifswald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greifswald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lichtenberg than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lichtenberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greifswald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lichtenberg - Greifswald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Regionalliga Nordost (Relegation) and 11).

Lichtenberg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pommern Greifswald is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pommern Greifswald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pommern Greifswald will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lichtenberg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lichtenberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Lichtenberg 47
German Regionalliga Nordost
20.01.23	Berliner FC Dynamo - Lichtenberg	3:2 ✺
02.12.22	Tennis Borussia Berlin - Lichtenberg	2:0 ✺
25.11.22	Lichtenberg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	0:1 ✺
11.11.22	Hertha Berlin II - Lichtenberg	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Lichtenberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLW
- Greifswalder FC
Club Friendly
10.01.23	Hansa Rostock II - Greifswald	1:0 ✺
German Regionalliga Nordost
04.12.22	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	1:1 ✺
25.11.22	Altglienicke - Greifswald	2:3 ✺
12.11.22	Greifswald - Chemie Leipzig	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Energie Cottbus - Greifswald	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
06.04.19	Lichtenberg - Greifswald	5:0
30.09.18	Greifswald - Lichtenberg	1:1
28.02.15	Lichtenberg - Greifswald	1:0

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