Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Lichtenberg		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.78
	3.45	4	1.78
	3.55	3.75	1.85
	3.67	4.11	1.82
	3.6	3.4	1.85
	3.64	3.8	1.88
	3.5	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.83)	3.77 ↑ (3.63)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lichtenberg
25.7%

Draw
24.2%

Lokomotive Leipzig
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

24.8%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

24.2%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lichtenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lichtenberg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Lichtenberg - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

Recent matches Lichtenberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lokomotive Leipzig is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lichtenberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lokomotive Leipzig will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lichtenberg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lichtenberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Lichtenberg 47
German Regionalliga Nordost
30.10.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - Lichtenberg	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Lichtenberg - Chemnitzer	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Berliner AK 07 - Lichtenberg	6:0 ✺
09.10.22	Lichtenberg - Meuselwitz	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Babelsberg - Lichtenberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLLWT
- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
28.10.22	Lokomotive Leipzig - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
21.10.22	Altglienicke - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Lokomotive Leipzig - Chemie Leipzig	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Energie Cottbus - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:1 ✺
30.09.22	Lokomotive Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
23.04.22	Lichtenberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:0
30.10.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Lichtenberg	1:3
25.10.20	Lichtenberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:2
23.11.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Lichtenberg	2:2

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