Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 33

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Lida)


	Lida		Baranovichi

	1	X	2
	2.54	3.6	2.22
	2.57	3.64	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.58)	3.62 ↓ (3.75)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lida
35%

Draw
24.7%

Baranovichi
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

23.8%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

23.5%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Baranovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gremza E. (C) 21. Burnos A. 8. Galushko A. 9. Gribovskiy R. 13. Karpovich E. 14. Khodyko D. 5. Krasnov M. 11. Kutsepalov D. 20. Torgashov N. 17. Vasilkevich M. 23. Yormie T.	1. Perov D. (G) 11. Anikeev V. 77. Artyukh M. 22. Atrashkevich S. 4. Karpenya V. 14. Kirko I. 8. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 29. Penchuk S. 30. Ryabykh N. 3. Vasilenko V.
Substitutes
18. Askerov R. 15. Belov G. 6. Chernyak K. 33. Gremza I. (G) 2. Guzarevich S. 3. Lazarev A. 7. Radzhabov A. 10. Shepet N. 1. Vasilyev A. (G) 16. Yanushko A. (G)	21. Baranovskiy T. 19. Chernyak V. 93. Dresmanis A. (G) 9. Galuza D. 2. Kendysh S. 7. Kirkitskiy K. 33. Litskevich M. 12. Mikhey E. 17. Nakonechny D. 27. Shevchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Galushko A. 🟨,
33', Atrashkevich S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Burnos A. ⚽, Torgashov N. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Karpenya V. ⚽, Artyukh M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Karpenya V. 🟨,
62', Anikeev V. ↓, Galuza D. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Artyukh M. ⚽, Penchuk S. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga).

Baranovichi is Qualified for Vysshaya Liga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lida won 2.

Lida has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baranovichi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baranovichi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lida has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lida won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lida won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.11.25	Belarus U19 - Lida	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Uni X Labs Minsk - Lida	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Osipovichi - Lida	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lida - Niva Dolbizno	7:0 ✺
12.10.25	BATE 2 - Lida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL
- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.11.25	Baranovichi - Minsk 2	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Ostrovets - Baranovichi	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Baranovichi - Volna Pinsk	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gomel 2 - Baranovichi	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Orsha - Baranovichi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
20.07.25	Baranovichi - Lida	3:2
24.08.24	Lida - Baranovichi	3:0
21.10.23	Baranovichi - Lida	4:2
18.06.23	Lida - Baranovichi	0:1
06.11.22	Baranovichi - Lida	1:6
16.07.22	Lida - Baranovichi	5:2
14.11.21	Lida - Baranovichi	2:3

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