Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Volna Stadium (Pinsk)


	Volna Pinsk		Lida

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.80	2.20
	2.42	3.85	2.23
	2.55	3.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.55)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	2.21 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 12.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Pinsk
36%

Draw
23.7%

Lida
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

24.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

23.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Pinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lida than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Volna Pinsk - Lida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Letsko S. (G) 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. 25. Kovsh K. 91. Matyash D. 9. Nizhnik D. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 7. Radzhabov A. 33. Sedro I. 6. Tarabesh I. 8. Vlasov A.	1. Vasilyuchek V. (G) 10. Chernodarov A. 7. Drozdovich A. 13. Karpovich E. 6. Katsynel M. 9. Kontsevoy I. 3. Legchilin A. 20. Mazurich A. 5. Tymonyuk I. 27. Vashkevich D. 23. Zhestarev M.
Substitutes
1. Asonov A. (G) 62. Baluk S. 16. Kirikovich S. (G) 19. Kovalevich K. 4. Kuradovets A. 55. Lesnyak D. 77. Nikoporenok E. 2. Prokopchuk D. 22. Samuylik A. 11. Tkachik D.	19. Belov G. 11. Chergeyko D. 8. Galushko A. 25. Gremza E. (G) 4. Ivanovsky V. 22. Khvostovich D. 17. Puzach A. 16. Yanushko A. (G) 14. Zaitsev E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Drozdovich A. ⚽,
28', Polkhovskiy K. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Chernodarov A. ⚽, Vashkevich D. (A),
76', 🟨,
83', 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volna Pinsk won 4.

Volna Pinsk is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lida is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Volna Pinsk has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:20 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volna Pinsk against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.7:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	51:43	8	54
11	Volna Pinsk	27	10	4	13	40:50	-10	34

Last Results with these Odds

Volna Pinsk - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.81%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.09.26	Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Slutsk - Volna Pinsk	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Volna Pinsk - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ostrovets - Volna Pinsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
25.09.26	Lida - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	BumProm Gomel - Lida	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Lida - Minsk 2	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Osipovichi - Lida	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Soligorsk - Lida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.06.26	Lida - Volna Pinsk	2:4
02.08.25	Lida - Volna Pinsk	1:2
28.03.25	Volna Pinsk - Lida	3:2
05.08.24	Volna Pinsk - Lida	2:1
07.04.24	Lida - Volna Pinsk	1:0
26.08.23	Lida - Volna Pinsk	1:1
23.04.23	Volna Pinsk - Lida	2:0

Volna Pinsk - Lida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide