Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 26

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: RCOP-BGU Stadium (Minsk)


	SKA-1938		Orsha

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.20	4.33
	1.53	4	4.65
	1.53	4.1	4.45
	1.54	4.15	4.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.54)	4.11 ↑ (4.06)	4.51 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-1938
58.3%

Draw
21.8%

Orsha
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

20.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for SKA-1938 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1938 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

SKA 1938 - Orsha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Seledtsov D. (G) 10. Chul D. 18. Egiptsev F. 3. Fedorovich F. 22. Guz A. 80. Knyshev N. 9. Korytko M. 5. Medvedev A. 6. Prigodich V. (C) 98. Slivin A. 23. Yaskevich M.	1. Volodkov A. (G) 10. Alexandrovich A. 8. Berezun I. 7. Bobchenok N. 93. Bordukov P. (C) 19. Kostyukovich V. 22. Kudinov E. 82. Shalychev V. 5. Tarbyakov N. 9. Tikhomirov D. 18. Volchenko N.
Substitutes
13. Kazlovskiy V. (G) 20. Kholyusev A. 26. Kontsovoy T. 8. Lukashenko E. 7. Nikiforenko M. 77. Parmonov K. 24. Sazankov T. 27. Silkin R. 11. Zhlobich A.	69. Bulakhov S. 14. Dambrovsky A. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 17. Kulesh Y. 88. Rudenok D. 13. Strebtsov D. 77. Zheleznikov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Knyshev N. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Chul D. ⚽, Slivin A. (A),
57', 3 - 0, Korytko M. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
77', 4 - 0, Korytko M. ⚽, Slivin A. (A),
85', 4 - 1, Tikhomirov D. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 5 - 1, Sazankov T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-1938 won 3.

SKA-1938 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Orsha has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

SKA-1938 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, SKA-1938 is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, SKA-1938 has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 16:5 (averaging 2.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SKA-1938 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SKA-1938	27	16	5	6	56:31	25	53
14	Orsha	27	7	6	14	28:51	-23	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-1938 Minsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.09.26	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	SKA-1938 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	BumProm Gomel - SKA-1938	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	SKA-1938 - Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Osipovichi - SKA-1938	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL
- FC Orsha
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.09.26	Orsha - Slutsk	0:3 ✺
11.09.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Orsha	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Orsha - Ostrovets	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Slonim - Orsha	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Orsha - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
30.05.26	Orsha - SKA-1938	0:2
27.10.24	SKA-1938 - Orsha	1:1
29.06.24	Orsha - SKA-1938	2:2
Belarusian Cup
28.08.20	Orsha - SKA-1938	1:6
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
01.09.18	Orsha - SKA-1938	0:1
05.05.18	SKA-1938 - Orsha	4:0
12.08.17	Orsha - SKA-1938	1:0

SKA-1938 - Orsha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide