The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austria Salzburg 45.1%
Draw 25.9%
Sturm Graz B 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
24.5%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
23.5%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austria Salzburg's form might have worsened.
Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austria Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Austria Salzburg - Sturm Graz B Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Sturm B (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nesler-Taubl S. (G) 20. Eder M. 22. Pfeffer T. 3. Spitali S. 19. Hofer R. 2. Rohrmoser T. 60. Pirkl S. 6. Schandl T. 11. Huetz C. 71. Gebauer C. (C) 70. Crnkic T.
41. Lorenz E. (G) 15. Roche E. 31. Pernot B. (C) 66. Morgenstern L. 19. Nnamdi K. 8. Halwachs J. 17. Locker J. 11. Gurmann T. 12. Peinhart J. 33. Lazarre W. 9. Lang N.
Substitutes
13. Bauer P. (G) 77. Bijelic D. 4. Kahrimanovic D. 9. Lukasser Weitlaner N. 5. Schweighofer L.
1. Donat N. (G) 20. Gratzei J. 21. Grgic M. 6. Haider G. 22. Petritsch J. 60. Ploner J. 13. Wolf J.
Coaches
Schaider C.
Wurm C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Gebauer C. ⚽,
34', Halwachs J. 🟨,
38', Roche E. 🟨,
40', Rohrmoser T. ↓, Kahrimanovic D. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Peinhart J. ⚽, Nnamdi K. (A),
45+1', Morgenstern L. 🟨,
45+1', Nesler-Taubl S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lazarre W. ↓, Haider G. ↑,
63', Peinhart J. 🟨,
67', Nnamdi K. 🟨,
68', Schandl T. ↓, Lukasser Weitlaner N. ↑,
71', Huetz C. 🟨,
71', Locker J. ↓, Petritsch J. ↑,
77', Halwachs J. ↓, Grgic M. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Lang N. ⚽, Nnamdi K. (A),
87', 2 - 2, Huetz C. ⚽, Crnkic T. (A),
88', Spitali S. ↓, Schweighofer L. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Grgic M. ⚽, Pernot B. (A),
90+2', Petritsch J. 🟨,
90+3', Lorenz E. 🟨,
90+4', Peinhart J. ↓, Ploner J. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 3, Eder M. ⚽, Lukasser Weitlaner N. (A),
90+6', Eder M. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Austria Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Austria Salzburg is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austria Salzburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
A. Salzburg
7
3
1
3
14:12
2
10
13
Sturm Graz II
7
2
2
3
15:18
-3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Sturm Graz B - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.