The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Liepāja 59.1%
Draw 23.6%
Grobiņa 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
23.1%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
19.3%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grobiņa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Liepāja - Grobiņa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Liepāja (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Liepāja will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Oss D. (G) 35. Sorokins V. 2. Straalman B. 4. Martins M. (C) 28. Korobenko A. 5. Strumia L. 6. Rodolphe E. 7. Ogunniyi A. 70. Patijcuks D. 23. Haidara A. 18. Oloko E.
21. Ozols R. (G) 2. Rupeiks K. 3. Druzinins D. (C) 15. Jovanovic A. 11. Rascevskis O. 77. Dodo 14. Sidorovs M. 8. Olatunde-Matthew O. 80. Baydal A. 99. Puzirevskis A. 6. Corryn M.
Substitutes
3. Iljins K. 26. Isajevs V. 29. Lakutis L. 44. Leidsman K. 77. Leite A. 17. Melnis B. 15. Mory C. 22. Mushindi I. 12. Petkovic D. (G)
13. Aruna A. 10. Dobrecovs D. 1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 29. Matyushenko I. 87. Ribeiro J. 25. Sirbu D. 88. Tyshchenko I. 20. Yamada H. 17. Zjuzins A.
Coaches
Vassiljev V.
Klava O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Oloko E. ⚽, Ogunniyi A. (A),
25', Oloko E. 🟨,
43', Straalman B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Baydal A. ↓, Aruna A. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Oloko E. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Sidorovs M. ↓, Tyshchenko I. ↑,
65', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Leite A. ↑,
65', Korobenko A. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
65', Rodolphe E. ↓, Mushindi I. ↑,
75', Patijcuks D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Dodo ⚽, Tyshchenko I. (A),
80', Haidara A. ↓, Melnis B. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Leidsman K. ⚽, Oloko E. (A),
88', Puzirevskis A. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
90+1', Druzinins D. 🟨,
90+3', Aruna A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 2.
In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Grobiņa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Liepāja is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
FK Liepaja
31
12
7
12
41:43
-2
43
8
Grobina
31
5
11
15
21:52
-31
26
Last Results with these Odds
Liepāja - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.75%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Latvia
Usa
Watch
#ad
Oss D. (G) 
Straalman B. 
Martins M. (C) 
Korobenko A. 
Strumia L. 
Rodolphe E. 
Ogunniyi A. 
Haidara A. 
Jovanovic A. 
Dodo 
Corryn M. 
Leite A. 
Mushindi I. 
Petkovic D. (G) 
Aruna A. 
Yamada H. 
Vassiljev V. 
