The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jelgava 30.8%
Draw 27.2%
Liepāja 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.1%
24.8%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
24.3%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelgava's performance.
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liepāja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelgava that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liepāja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jelgava - Liepāja Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Liepāja (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Liepāja (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dvorak A. (C) 27. Alekseiciks K. 24. Hasek F. 11. Hasek M. 4. Kangars A. 8. Melkis R. 13. Novikovs J. 22. Pudil M. 17. Rataj T. 3. Semesko M. 29. Zaleiko G.
24. Oss D. (G) 23. Haidara A. 26. Isajevs V. 4. Martins M. (C) 7. Ogunniyi A. 18. Oloko E. 70. Patijcuks D. 6. Rodolphe E. 35. Sorokins V. 2. Straalman B. 32. Strumia L.
Substitutes
9. Becers R. 30. Belanik S. (G) 28. Deklavs A. 23. Dreimanis A. 7. Janovskis A. 21. Kacanovs G. 16. Leitis T. (G) 20. Patika G. 19. Petersons A.
14. Gueye D. 3. Iljins K. 28. Korobenko A. 29. Lakutis L. 44. Leidsman K. 77. Leite A. 15. Mory C. 12. Petkovic D. (G) 40. Untulis R.
Coaches
Basovs A.
Vassiljev V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Oloko E. ⚽,
24', Novikovs J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Ogunniyi A. ⚽, Haidara A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Novikovs J. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
46', Melkis R. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
46', Rodolphe E. ↓, Korobenko A. ↑,
53', Sorokins V. 🟨,
57', Oloko E. 🟨,
66', Patijcuks D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
75', Haidara A. ↓, Leite A. ↑,
75', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
80', Hasek F. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
80', Pudil M. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
84', Rataj T. ↓, Dreimanis A. ↑,
84', Isajevs V. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
85', Becers R. 🟨,
86', Oss D. 🟨,
88', Strumia L. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Jelgava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Liepāja is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:43. (average 1.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.2:2.4).
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Dvorak A. (C) 
Alekseiciks K. 
Haidara A. 
Martins M. (C) 
Ogunniyi A. 
Rodolphe E. 
Straalman B. 
Strumia L. 
Belanik S. (G) 
Gueye D. 
Korobenko A. 
Leite A. 
Petkovic D. (G) 
Vassiljev V. 
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