The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Super Nova 34.9%
Draw 29.6%
Grobiņa 35.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
25.4%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
24.4%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova's form might have worsened.
Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Super Nova - Grobiņa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Veisbuks D. (G) 5. Cirulis J. 25. Oss M. (C) 16. Romanovs K. 3. Iida R. 24. Sitjakovs R. 15. Kirss R. 8. Patrikejevs I. 6. Emsis E. 9. Bamba 10. Lizunovs V.
21. Ozols R. (G) 11. Rascevskis O. 15. Jovanovic A. 5. Leitans G. 27. Baravykas R. 9. Kholod A. 3. Druzinins D. (C) 88. Tyshchenko I. 80. Baydal A. 20. Yamada H. 6. Corryn M.
Substitutes
2. Augusts K. 29. Baghdasaryan A. 7. Glaudans A. 20. Ndiaye I. 27. Pathe N. 31. Pipcans V. (G) 22. Skadmanis K. 21. Tihonovics M.
13. Aruna A. 77. Dodo 32. Kluskins G. 1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 8. Olatunde-Matthew O. 99. Puzirevskis A. 87. Ribeiro J. 2. Rupeiks K. 14. Sidorovs M.
Coaches
Rafalskis M.
Klava O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Tyshchenko I. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Oss M. ⚽, Sitjakovs R. (A),
10', Tyshchenko I. 🟨,
19', Romanovs K. 🟨,
20', Yamada H. ↓, Ribeiro J. ↑,
29', 1 - 1, Corryn M. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Oss M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kholod A. ↓, Dodo ↑,
46', Baydal A. ↓, Olatunde-Matthew O. ↑,
65', Bamba ↓, Glaudans A. ↑,
65', Kirss R. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
74', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
79', Corryn M. ↓, Sidorovs M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Sitjakovs R. ⚽, Pathe N. (A),
87', Ribeiro J. ↓, Puzirevskis A. ↑,
89', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
90+1', Emsis E. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
90+1', Lizunovs V. ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:5 (averaging 2.7:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Super Nova against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:4 goals (averaging 2.5:0.7 per game).