Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 26Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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Ligorna |
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Gozzano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.55 |
3.5 |
5.35 |
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1.48 |
3.87 |
5.82 |
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1.51 |
3.83 |
5.88 |
Watch |
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1.5 |
3.4 |
6 |
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1.53 |
3.83 |
6.46 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.62) |
3.69 ↑ (3.53) |
5.9 ↑ (5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ligorna 60% | Draw 24.6% | Gozzano 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Ligorna - Gozzano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 85', 🟥,
- 90', 0 - 1, Ornaghi R. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1.Ligorna is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Gozzano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Ligorna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Ligorna is seen as the favorite.We predict that Ligorna will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Ligorna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Ligorna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
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| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 26.10.25 | Gozzano - Ligorna | 3:0 | | 17.04.25 | Gozzano - Ligorna | 2:0 | | 08.12.24 | Ligorna - Gozzano | 1:4 | | 13.01.24 | Gozzano - Ligorna | 1:1 | | 16.09.23 | Ligorna - Gozzano | 1:0 | | 05.03.23 | Ligorna - Gozzano | 1:0 | | 30.10.22 | Gozzano - Ligorna | 1:0 |
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