Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Gozzano |
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Derthona |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.3 |
2.98 |
2.98 |
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2.19 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
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2.33 |
2.76 |
3.38 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
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2.2 |
2.92 |
3.3 |
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2.2 |
2.9 |
3.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.48) |
2.86 ↓
(3.1) |
3.25 ↑
(2.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gozzano
40.4% | Draw
31.7% | Derthona
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derthona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gozzano - Derthona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Romairone A. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Marcaletti E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 3.Both teams are struggling and far from their best. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).Including home matches between the teams, Gozzano won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
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| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Gozzano - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Derthona - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 05.10.25 | Derthona - Gozzano | 1:1 | | 25.01.25 | Derthona - Gozzano | 0:1 | | 27.01.24 | Derthona - Gozzano | 0:3 | | 30.09.23 | Gozzano - Derthona | 0:2 | | 05.02.23 | Gozzano - Derthona | 3:1 | | 02.10.22 | Derthona - Gozzano | 3:0 | | 24.04.22 | Derthona - Gozzano | 1:1 |
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