The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varese 31.1%
Draw 29.9%
Ligorna 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
26.8%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
26.5%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.
Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ligorna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ligorna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Varese - Ligorna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Pastore M. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Tentoni T. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Pastore M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 1.
Varese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ligorna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Ligorna could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
Watch
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