The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sestri Levante 37%
Draw 31.2%
Ligorna 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
29%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
27.9%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Sestri Levante - Ligorna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Bruzzo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestri Levante won 1.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sestri Levante won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sestri Levante won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Ligorna
6
3
1
2
11:10
1
10
14
Sestri Levante
6
2
1
3
6:8
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Ligorna - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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