The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ligorna 65.4%
Draw 21.2%
NovaRomentin 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.1%
20%
12%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72%
18.9%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
NovaRomentin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ligorna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (-2%)
Ligorna - NovaRomentin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Vuthaj D. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Vuthaj D. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Vuthaj D. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 1)
61', 4 - 0, ⚽,
65', 4 - 1, ⚽,
66', 5 - 1, ⚽,
67', 6 - 1, ⚽,
84', 7 - 1, ⚽,
87', 8 - 1, ⚽,
89', 9 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Ligorna is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
NovaRomentin is Relegated to
Recent performances by Ligorna have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NovaRomentin is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Ligorna is the clear favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ligorna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).