Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Valenzana Mado		Ligorna

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.65	1.52
	5.98	4	1.45
	6.06	3.83	1.5	Watch
	6	3.6	1.44
	5.73	4.06	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (4.65)	3.83 ↑ (3.37)	1.49 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenzana Mado
15.5%

Draw
23.7%

Ligorna
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

26.8%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

26.4%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenzana Mado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ligorna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ligorna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valenzana Mado - Ligorna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Vuthaj D. 🟥,
59', 1 - 0, Doria A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Valenzana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ligorna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ligorna is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valenzana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ligorna	6	3	1	2	11:10	1	10
17	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	7:10	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.03.26	Vado - Valenzana Mado	6:1 ✺
15.03.26	Valenzana Mado - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Club Milano - Valenzana Mado	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Valenzana Mado - Saluzzo	1:4 ✺
15.02.26	Imperia - Valenzana Mado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLL
- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.03.26	Ligorna - Lavagnese	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vado - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ligorna - Gozzano	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ligorna - Club Milano	5:1 ✺
15.02.26	Varese - Ligorna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
16.11.25	Ligorna - Valenzana Mado	2:0

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