The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valenzana Mado 22.6%
Draw 26.6%
Ligorna 50.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.4%
27.4%
50.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
26.6%
51.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Valenzana Mado - Ligorna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
(0 - 1)
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group A Playoffs).
Valenzana has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ligorna is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Valenzana could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Ligorna for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Valenzana has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Valenzana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Ligorna
9
5
1
3
17:12
5
16
17
Valenzana
9
1
2
6
9:16
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Ligorna - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 50.23%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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