Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 29Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
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NovaRomentin |
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Derthona |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.58 |
2.98 |
2.62 |
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2.59 |
2.96 |
2.63 |
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2.55 |
3.16 |
2.6 |
Watch |
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2.6 |
2.88 |
2.5 |
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2.64 |
3.21 |
2.64 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↓ (2.84) |
3.04 ↓ (3.27) |
2.6 ↑ (2.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
NovaRomentin 35.1% | Draw 29.9% | Derthona 35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NovaRomentin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.NovaRomentin - Derthona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 68', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).Recent performances by NovaRomentin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Derthona has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, NovaRomentin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).Including home match between the teams, NovaRomentin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Derthona - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.79%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 16.11.25 | Derthona - NovaRomentin | 3:0 | | 05.01.25 | Derthona - NovaRomentin | 1:6 | | 08.09.24 | NovaRomentin - Derthona | 1:1 |
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