The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ligorna 38.4%
Draw 29.8%
Ticino 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
29.2%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
29.7%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ligorna's form might have worsened.
Ticino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ticino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ligorna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ticino than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ticino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Ligorna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ticino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ligorna will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ligorna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Ligorna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.