Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 11Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lavagnese |
|
Ligorna |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.78 |
3.05 |
2.38 |
|
 |
2.96 |
2.92 |
2.27 |
|
 |
2.33 |
3.25 |
2.80 |
 Watch |
 |
2.85 |
3.08 |
2.35 |
|
 |
2.32 |
3.25 |
2.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.3) |
3.11 ↓
(3.3) |
2.52 ↓
(2.84) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lavagnese
34.5% | Draw
29.3% | Ligorna
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lavagnese's form might have worsened.Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lavagnese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-4.8%)Lavagnese - Ligorna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Lavagnese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Lavagnese - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 02.03.25 | Lavagnese - Ligorna | 1:2 | | 27.10.24 | Ligorna - Lavagnese | 2:0 | | 21.01.24 | Lavagnese - Ligorna | 0:2 | | 24.09.23 | Ligorna - Lavagnese | 0:0 | | 13.02.22 | Lavagnese - Ligorna | 1:2 | | 06.10.21 | Ligorna - Lavagnese | 2:3 | | 26.01.20 | Lavagnese - Ligorna | 1:1 |
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