Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday


	Lija Athletic		Melita

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.6
	2.12	3.46	2.66
	2.25	3.4	2.51
	2.33	3.35	2.67
	2.85	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (3.16)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	2.52 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
38%

Draw
26.4%

Melita
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

26.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lija Athletic's performance.

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lija Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Lija is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melita is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Melita will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lija won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
02.12.23	Fgura United - Lija Athletic	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Żabbar St. Patrick - Lija Athletic	1:0 ✺
03.11.23	Lija Athletic - Żurrieq	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Marsa - Lija Athletic	3:0 ✺
25.10.23	Lija Athletic - Msida Saint-Joseph	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
02.12.23	Melita - Attard	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	St. Andrews - Melita	0:3 ✺
04.11.23	Melita - Luqa St. Andrews	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Żabbar St. Patrick - Melita	4:0 ✺
24.10.23	Melita - Żurrieq	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
13.12.22	Melita - Lija Athletic	2:2
11.02.22	Lija Athletic - Melita	1:2
24.10.21	Melita - Lija Athletic	2:1

Lija Athletic - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide