Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 26

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lilla Torg		Karlshamn

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.8	3.4
	1.8	4.09	3.47	Watch
	1.81	3.75	3.25
	1.75	3.76	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.86)	3.85 ↑ (3.55)	3.45 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilla Torg
50.3%

Draw
23.5%

Karlshamn
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

24.8%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

22.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilla Torg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Karlshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilla Torg than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lilla Torg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlshamn than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlshamn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lilla Torg - Karlshamn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 14th in the Relegation).

Karlshamn is Relegated to.

In recent outings, Lilla Torg has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Karlshamn is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lilla Torg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lilla Torg holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lilla Torg has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lilla Torg	26	7	11	8	39:43	-4	32
14	IFK Karlshamn	26	4	2	20	27:67	-40	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilla Torg FF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
10.10.26	Sölvesborg - Lilla Torg	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Lilla Torg - Nosaby	2:3 ✺
27.09.26	Österlen - Lilla Torg	3:3 ✺
18.09.26	Lilla Torg - Linero	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Växjö Norra - Lilla Torg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLTTT
- IFK Karlshamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
11.10.26	Karlshamn - Staffanstorp United	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Växjö Norra - Karlshamn	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Karlshamn - Karlskrona	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Berga - Karlshamn	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Karlshamn - Torn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
07.06.26	Karlshamn - Lilla Torg	2:0

Lilla Torg - Karlshamn