Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Lille		Monaco

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.7	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.15
	3.35	3.55	2.12
	3.48	3.66	2.14
	3.21	3.71	2.07	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.1
	3.43	3.9	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.8)	3.66 ↑ (3.38)	2.12 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lille
29%

Draw
26%

Monaco
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.5%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.4%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.8%	18.2%	60%

Lille - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). Monaco will win (votes: 33 - 63.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 50.4% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 6.3%). Monaco (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 32. Bouaddi A. 21. Andre B. (C) 17. Mukau N. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 9. Giroud O.	1. Hradecky L. (G) 4. Teze J. 3. Dier E. 13. Mawissa C. 12. Caio Henrique 15. Camara L. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 11. Akliouche M. 18. Minamino T. 10. Golovin A. 9. Balogun F.
Substitutes
6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 14. Broholm M. 34. Burlet V. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 38. Goffi A. 2. Mandi A. 28. Raghouber U. 23. Zhegrova E.	23. Bamba A. 7. Ben Seghir E. 14. Biereth M. 19. Ilenikhena G. 5. Kehrer T. 16. Kohn P. (G) 20. Ouattara K. 17. Singo W. 2. Vanderson
Coaches
Genesio B.	Hutter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Mukau N. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
74', Teze J. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
74', Minamino T. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
74', Golovin A. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
81', Correia F. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
83', Genesio B. 🟨,
85', Caio Henrique ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
86', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
87', Camara L. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Giroud O. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
90+7', Mawissa C. 🟨,
90+9', Giroud O. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.

Lille has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monaco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.

Recently, Monaco has had a series of home games.

Monaco could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Gomes A. (Injury) Mbappe E. (Hamstring Injury) Sahraoui O. (Foot Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Monaco: Embolo B. (Inactive) Fati A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Salisu M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
17.08.25	Brest - Lille	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	West Ham United - Lille	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Lille - Venezia	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Lille	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Como - Lille	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
16.08.25	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Monaco - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Ajax - Monaco	2:2 ✺
31.07.25	Monaco - Torino	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	Monaco - Torino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
22.02.25	Lille - Monaco	2:1
18.10.24	Monaco - Lille	0:0
24.04.24	Monaco - Lille	1:0
29.10.23	Lille - Monaco	2:0
14.05.23	Monaco - Lille	0:0
23.10.22	Lille - Monaco	4:3
06.05.22	Lille - Monaco	1:2

Upcoming Matches