Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
Mexico	Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Monaco		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	11	Watch
	1.26	6	11
	1.21	6.9	12.5
	1.23	6.96	12.62
	1.35	5.27	7.74	Watch
	1.25	5.8	10
	1.25	7.17	12.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	6.44 ↑ (5.27)	11.09 ↑ (7.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
76.5%

Draw
14.9%

Le Havre
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

17.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	13.7%	9.8%

Monaco - Le Havre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.5 - Monaco (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (39 of 50 users predict this - 78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.52% – 89.48%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (19 of 25 users predict this - 76%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hradecky L. (G) 4. Teze J. 13. Mawissa C. 3. Dier E. 12. Caio Henrique 6. Zakaria D. (C) 15. Camara L. 11. Akliouche M. 10. Golovin A. 18. Minamino T. 14. Biereth M.	99. Diaw M. (G) 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 15. Seko A. 18. Zouaoui Y. 26. Ebonog S. 8. Kechta Y. 14. Ndiaye R. 21. Namli Y. 45. Soumare I.
Substitutes
23. Bamba A. 7. Ben Seghir E. 29. Brunner P. 19. Ilenikhena G. 5. Kehrer T. 16. Kohn P. (G) 20. Ouattara K. 17. Singo W. 2. Vanderson	44. Bouneb I. 13. Doucoure F. 33. Gomis G. 11. Kyeremeh G. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 70. Samatta A. 24. Zohouri G.
Coaches
Hutter A.	Costa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Lloris G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Ebonog S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
58', Namli Y. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Dier E. ⚽, Camara L. (A),
63', Teze J. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
63', Camara L. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Ndiaye R. ⚽, Kechta Y. (A),
74', 3 - 1, Akliouche M. ⚽, Zakaria D. (A),
78', Sangante A. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
78', Youte Kinkoue E. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
79', Ndiaye R. ↓, Mosengo D. N. ↑,
80', Biereth M. ↓, Brunner P. ↑,
81', Minamino T. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
89', Lloris G. 🟨,
89', Golovin A. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.

Monaco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Le Havre's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monaco is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Fati A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Magassa S. (Red Card) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Hamstring Injury) Nego L. (Yellow Cards) Thiare A. (Yellow Cards) Toure A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Monaco: Balogun F. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Monaco - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Ajax - Monaco	2:2 ✺
31.07.25	Monaco - Torino	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	Monaco - Torino	3:1 ✺
26.07.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Monaco	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWW
- Le Havre AC
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Paris FC - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Brest - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Le Havre - Angers	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Le Havre - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.04.25	Le Havre - Monaco	1:1
22.09.24	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1
04.02.24	Monaco - Le Havre	1:1
11.11.23	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0
French Ligue 2
08.02.13	Monaco - Le Havre	2:1
31.08.12	Le Havre - Monaco	2:1
20.04.12	Monaco - Le Havre	N/A

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