What is the expert prediction for Brest vs Lille?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Brest vs Lille. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Brest vs Lille Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, August 17, 2025)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Mexico	Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Brest		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.8	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	2.62	3.15	2.82
	2.67	3.3	2.9
	3.71	3.64	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	2.72	3.46	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.71)	3.35 ↓ (3.64)	2.52 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
32.9%

Draw
28.8%

Lille
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

26%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brest's performance.

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	22.4%	65.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). Lille will win (votes: 32 - 65.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 52% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brest (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Brest (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Lille (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majecki R. (G) 77. Lala K. 26. Le Cardinal J. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 2. Locko B. 23. Doumbia K. 8. Magnetti H. 20. Lees-Melou P. 10. Del Castillo R. 19. Ajorque L. 17. Balde M.	1. Ozer B. (G) 36. Toure O. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 17. Mukau N. 21. Andre B. (C) 14. Broholm M. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
18. Bourgault J. 11. Camblan A. 30. Coudert G. (G) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 29. Diop S. 36. Le Guen R. 33. Makalou H. 28. Mbock H. 12. Zogbe L.	6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 32. Bouaddi A. 41. Burlet V. 42. Cossier I. 43. Diaoune S. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 44. Goffi A. 28. Raghouber U.
Coaches
Roy E.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Giroud O. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
15', Ngoy N. 🟨,
18', Doumbia K. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽,
35', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Broholm M. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽, Balde M. (A),
53', Toure O. ↓, Goffi A. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Mukau N. ⚽, Ngoy N. (A),
72', Perraud R. ↓, Burlet V. ↑,
75', 3 - 3, Le Cardinal J. ⚽, Lala K. (A),
85', Haraldsson H. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
85', Mukau N. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
90', Balde M. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
90+6', Doumbia K. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.

Brest is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lille has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lille will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Mandi A. (Injury) Mbappe E. (Hamstring Injury) Meunier T. (Yellow Cards) Sahraoui O. (Foot Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brest won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Brest - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Napoli - Brest	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Brest - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Rennes - Brest	2:3 ✺
11.07.25	Concarneau - Brest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWW
- OSC Lille
Club Friendly
09.08.25	West Ham United - Lille	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Lille - Venezia	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Lille	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Como - Lille	3:2 ✺
12.07.25	Lille - Amiens	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.25	Brest - Lille	2:0
06.12.24	Lille - Brest	3:1
17.03.24	Brest - Lille	1:1
22.10.23	Lille - Brest	1:0
24.02.23	Lille - Brest	2:1
11.01.23	Brest - Lille	0:0
22.01.22	Brest - Lille	2:0

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