Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brest		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.8	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	2.62	3.15	2.82
	2.67	3.3	2.9
	3.71	3.64	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	2.72	3.46	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.71)	3.35 ↓ (3.64)	2.52 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
32.9%

Draw
28.8%

Lille
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

26%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brest's performance.

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	22.4%	65.3%

Brest - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). Lille will win (votes: 32 - 65.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 52% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brest (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Brest (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Lille (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Majecki R. (G) 77. Lala K. 26. Le Cardinal J. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 2. Locko B. 23. Doumbia K. 8. Magnetti H. 20. Lees-Melou P. 10. Del Castillo R. 19. Ajorque L. 17. Balde M.	1. Ozer B. (G) 36. Toure O. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 17. Mukau N. 21. Andre B. (C) 14. Broholm M. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
18. Bourgault J. 11. Camblan A. 30. Coudert G. (G) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 29. Diop S. 36. Le Guen R. 33. Makalou H. 28. Mbock H. 12. Zogbe L.	6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 32. Bouaddi A. 41. Burlet V. 42. Cossier I. 43. Diaoune S. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 44. Goffi A. 28. Raghouber U.
Coaches
Roy E.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Giroud O. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
15', Ngoy N. 🟨,
18', Doumbia K. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽,
35', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Broholm M. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽, Balde M. (A),
53', Toure O. ↓, Goffi A. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Mukau N. ⚽, Ngoy N. (A),
72', Perraud R. ↓, Burlet V. ↑,
75', 3 - 3, Le Cardinal J. ⚽, Lala K. (A),
85', Haraldsson H. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
85', Mukau N. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
90', Balde M. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
90+6', Doumbia K. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.

Brest is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lille has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lille will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Mandi A. (Injury) Mbappe E. (Hamstring Injury) Meunier T. (Yellow Cards) Sahraoui O. (Foot Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brest won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Brest - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Napoli - Brest	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Brest - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Rennes - Brest	2:3 ✺
11.07.25	Concarneau - Brest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWWW
- OSC Lille
Club Friendly
09.08.25	West Ham United - Lille	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Lille - Venezia	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Lille	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Como - Lille	3:2 ✺
12.07.25	Lille - Amiens	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.25	Brest - Lille	2:0
06.12.24	Lille - Brest	3:1
17.03.24	Brest - Lille	1:1
22.10.23	Lille - Brest	1:0
24.02.23	Lille - Brest	2:1
11.01.23	Brest - Lille	0:0
22.01.22	Brest - Lille	2:0

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