Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 6
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Prime
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	OneFootball TV


	Lille		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6	Watch
	1.41	5.00	7.00
	1.5	4.3	6.3	Watch
	1.52	4.7	6.33
	1.43	4.79	6.88	Watch
	1.5	4.55	6.25
	1.52	4.56	6.08	Watch
	1.53	4.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)	4.65 ↑ (4.58)	6.33 ↓ (7.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
64.3%

Draw
20.6%

Troyes
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.3%	6.5%	3.2%

Lille - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lille will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 17. Mukau N. 6. Bentaleb N. (C) 7. Bakwa D. 10. Haraldsson H. 19. Onal B. 18. Ueda A.	33. Beach P. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 3. Ouzenadji A. 17. Mille A. 8. Diop M. 7. Diawara K. 29. Karim D. 22. Picard H. 9. Le Douaron J.
Substitutes
21. Andre B. 12. Gill O. (G) 9. Giroud O. 14. Kjaergaard M. 8. Mbappe E. 23. Nianzou T. 28. Perrin G. 11. Sahraoui O. 24. Verdonk C.	41. Carneiro E. 31. Donkor N. 11. Gomis I. 40. Konate H. (G) 39. Kone Y. 23. Nkada T. 20. Ripart R. 34. Simakha L. 36. Soukouna I.
Coaches
Ancelotti D.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Santos T. ⚽, Bakwa D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maronnier L. ↓, Donkor N. ↑,
61', Haraldsson H. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
71', Bakwa D. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
71', Ueda A. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
71', Onal B. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
75', Diawara K. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
75', Diop M. ↓, Gomis I. ↑,
80', Picard H. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
80', Mille A. ↓, Kone Y. ↑,
82', Giroud O. 🟨,
86', Mukau N. ↓, Andre B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Mbappe E. ⚽, Kjaergaard M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Troyes has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lille is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Troyes: Boura I. (Injury) Gozzi P. (Muscle Injury) Titi Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Ifnaoui M. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lille won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 4.84% Troyes: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	4:11	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Lille - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.41%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Lille - Betis	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.09.26	Toulouse - Lille	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Angers - Lille	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Everton - Lille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTWT
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Lorient - Troyes	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Troyes - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Troyes - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Troyes - GOAL FC	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.06.23	Troyes - Lille	1:1
15.01.23	Lille - Troyes	5:1
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Lille - Troyes	2:0
French Ligue 1
01.05.22	Troyes - Lille	3:0
04.12.21	Lille - Troyes	2:1
20.01.18	Troyes - Lille	1:0
14.10.17	Lille - Troyes	2:2

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