What is the expert prediction for Lille vs Le Havre?

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Lille vs Le Havre Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 08, 2025)

Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Mexico	Caliente TV App
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Lille		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	11	Watch
	1.26	6	11.5
	1.25	5.9	12	Watch
	1.26	6.29	11.64
	1.27	6.14	11.98	Watch
	1.25	6	11
	1.26	6.7	13.3	Watch
	1.25	5.9	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)	6.12 ↑ (4.68)	11.8 ↑ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Lille
76.2%

Draw
15.7%

Le Havre
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

20%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

19.2%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	10.4%	4.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 40 - 85.1%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 74.9% – 95.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Meunier T. 2. Mandi A. 4. Alexsandro 5. Gudmundsson G. 21. Andre B. (C) 26. Gomes A. 11. Sahraoui O. 10. Cabella R. 7. Haraldsson H. 9. David J.	1. Gorgelin M. (G) 7. Nego L. 4. Lloris G. 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 18. Zouaoui Y. 23. Mwanga J. 10. Casimir J. (C) 8. Kechta Y. 34. Diawara M. 45. Soumare I. 99. Hassan A.
Substitutes
24. Akpom Ch. 20. Bakker M. 32. Bouaddi A. 18. Diakite B. 8. Gomes A. 31. Ismaily 1. Mannone V. (G) 29. Mbappe E. 17. Mukau N.	28. Ayew A. 12. Bodmer M. 44. Bouneb I. 25. Confais A. 30. Desmas A. (G) 46. Housni I. 33. Kana-Biyik E. 19. Ndiaye R. 32. Pembele T.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Hassan A. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sahraoui O. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
46', Gomes A. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
46', Cabella R. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Soumare I. ⚽,
61', Mbappe E. 🟨,
66', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
67', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
69', Bakker M. 🟨,
76', Diawara M. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
76', Hassan A. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
85', Mwanga J. ↓, Bodmer M. ↑,
85', Soumare I. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
90+5', Casimir J. ↓, Housni I. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 2, Akpom Ch. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Havre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Heart Problems) Fernandez-Pardo M. (Ankle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Le Havre: Ballo-Toure F. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury) Sangante A. (Red Card) Toure A. (Ribs Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Ismaily (Calf Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 2.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Lille - Dunkerque	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
01.02.25	Lille - Saint-Étienne	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Lille - Feyenoord	6:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
25.01.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Liverpool - Lille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
02.02.25	Angers - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Le Havre - Brest	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Reims - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
28.09.24	Le Havre - Lille	0:3
17.02.24	Lille - Le Havre	3:0
01.10.23	Le Havre - Lille	0:2
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Lille - Le Havre	3:2
12.07.12	Le Havre - Lille	1:2

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