The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lille 66.3%
Draw 20%
Le Havre 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.2%
21.7%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66%
21.1%
13.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Le Havre aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Lille - Le Havre Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lille will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18th in the Relegation - Ligue 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
Lille has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Le Havre has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, Lille enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Lille has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 16:6 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lille against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).