Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 5
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	12:15	Disney+
China	23:15	Migu
Colombia	10:15	Disney+
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:15	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	17:15	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:15	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	22:15	Vidio
Israel	18:15	5 PLUS Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	17:15	ART Sport 6
Mexico	09:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	10:15	Disney+
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Russia	18:15	Okko Prime
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	17:15	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South Korea	00:15	Coupang Play
Spain	17:15	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	18:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Lille		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.50	Watch
	1.52	4.50	5.75
	1.49	4.30	5.80	Watch
	1.58	4.55	5.87
	1.46	4.73	6.3	Watch
	1.57	4.45	5.60
	1.58	4.40	5.58	Watch
	1.54	4.60	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.47)	4.48 ↑ (4.36)	5.78 ↓ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
62.2%

Draw
21.3%

Le Havre
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.6%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	8.3%	4.2%

Lille - Le Havre Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lille (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lille will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 23. Nianzou T. 4. Alexsandro 15. Perraud R. 6. Bentaleb N. 14. Kjaergaard M. 7. Bakwa D. 17. Mukau N. 28. Perrin G. 9. Giroud O. (C)	93. Gallon G. (G) 20. Ouziad D. 15. Seko A. 5. Touba A. 97. N'Diaye M. 26. Ebonog S. 7. Richardson A. 30. Nakamura S. 14. Ndiaye R. (C) 25. Samatta A. 9. Maja J.
Substitutes
21. Andre B. 26. Cossier I. 35. Diaoune S. 12. Gill O. (G) 38. Goffi A. 10. Haraldsson H. 11. Sahraoui O. 18. Ueda A. 24. Verdonk C.	16. Bodart A. (G) 44. Bouneb I. 38. Fofana R. 17. Mizuta K. 78. Mosengo D. N. 6. Mwanga J. 23. Sasso V. 27. Vinette E. K. 24. Zohouri G.
Coaches
Ancelotti D.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bakwa D. ⚽, Nianzou T. (A),
22', Santos T. ↓, Goffi A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Perrin G. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
57', Giroud O. ↓, Ueda A. ↑,
62', Seko A. 🟥,
63', Ndiaye R. 🟨,
70', Nakamura S. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
70', Maja J. ↓, Mwanga J. ↑,
73', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
73', Mukau N. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
76', Ouziad D. 🟨,
82', Richardson A. ↓, Mizuta K. ↑,
85', Kjaergaard M. 🟨,
90+3', Goffi A. 🟨,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18th in the Relegation - Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.

Lille has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Le Havre has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Lille as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Le Havre: Mambimbi F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mpasi-Nzau L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pembele T. (Muscle Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Zagadou S. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Le Havre: Jelert E. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Lille has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 16:6 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lille against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	5	15
18	Le Havre	8	0	2	6	8:15	-7	2

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 3.5% Le Havre: 0.04%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
20.09.26	Nice - Lille	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lille - Troyes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Lille - Betis	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.09.26	Toulouse - Lille	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWT
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Toulouse - Le Havre	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Le Havre - Angers	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Le Havre - Brest	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.05.26	Lille - Le Havre	1:1
30.11.25	Le Havre - Lille	0:1
08.02.25	Lille - Le Havre	1:2
28.09.24	Le Havre - Lille	0:3
17.02.24	Lille - Le Havre	3:0
01.10.23	Le Havre - Lille	0:2
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Lille - Le Havre	3:2

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