Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Troyes		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.40	2.15	Watch
	3.20	3.40	2.15
	3.25	3.35	2.15	Watch
	3.43	3.60	2.21
	3.13	3.58	2.21	Watch
	3.40	3.50	2.18
	3.40	3.80	2.19	Watch
	3.30	3.60	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.63)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	2.18 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
29%

Draw
27.1%

Paris FC
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	21.4%	50%

Troyes - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Paris FC will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 50%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Beach P. (G) 44. Titi Y. 6. Monfray A. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 3. Ouzenadji A. 11. Gomis I. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 22. Picard H. 7. Diawara K. 20. Ripart R.	1. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 42. Coppola D. 5. Mbow M. 6. Otavio 23. Matondo R. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 10. Kebbal I. 7. Pagis P. 15. Koleosho L. 9. Sinayoko L.
Substitutes
37. Batola C. 31. Donkor N. 5. Gozzi P. 29. Karim D. 40. Konate H. (G) 39. Kone Y. 17. Mille A. 26. Phliponeau A. 36. Soukouna I.	31. Chergui S. 28. De Smet T. 21. Lopez M. 4. Marchetti V. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 27. Simon M. 18. Sissoko O. 14. Traore H. 8. Zabi P.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Koleosho L. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
55', Titi Y. ↓, Donkor N. ↑,
56', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
62', Otavio 🟨,
63', Matondo R. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
69', Diop M. 🟨,
75', Diawara K. ↓, Mille A. ↑,
76', Gomis I. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
79', Sinayoko L. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
81', Pagis P. ↓, Zabi P. ↑,
86', Ripart R. ↓, Kone Y. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 0.

Troyes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paris FC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Troyes: Boura I. (Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Ikone J. (Hamstring Injury) Mbemba E. (Inactive) Sangui N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Fatah A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Sissoko O. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.59% Troyes: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
16	Troyes	5	1	1	3	4:11	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Troyes - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.94%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Paris FC - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Troyes - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Troyes - GOAL FC	5:2 ✺
11.07.26	Nancy - Troyes	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
09.05.26	Grenoble - Troyes	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Troyes - Laval	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLW
- Paris FC
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Angers - Paris FC	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Stuttgart - Paris FC	2:2 ✺
24.07.26	Como - Paris FC	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Paris FC - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Rennes - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Paris FC - Troyes	1:0
21.10.24	Troyes - Paris FC	0:3
13.04.24	Troyes - Paris FC	1:2
28.10.23	Paris FC - Troyes	2:2
10.04.21	Paris FC - Troyes	1:1
05.12.20	Troyes - Paris FC	2:1
06.03.20	Troyes - Paris FC	1:1

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