Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday


	Lillestrøm 2		Orkla FK

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.15	2.98
	1.89	4.27	3.08	Watch
	1.84	4.25	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.54)	4.22 ↓ (4.68)	3.07 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
48.8%

Draw
21.5%

Orkla FK
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

19.5%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

19.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lillestrøm 2's form might have worsened.

Orkla FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orkla FK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orkla FK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lillestrøm 2 - Orkla FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Johnsen E. H. 🟥,
3', 1 - 0, Eriksson P. O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Wangen A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Orkla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lillestrøm 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
03.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Stabæk 2	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Rana - Lillestrøm 2	4:0 ✺
19.08.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Mosjøen	6:0 ✺
10.08.24	Verdal - Lillestrøm 2	0:4 ✺
03.08.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Melhus	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWW
- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
31.08.24	Orkla FK - Nardo	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Stabæk 2 - Orkla FK	1:3 ✺
17.08.24	Orkla FK - Verdal	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Rana - Orkla FK	5:0 ✺
05.08.24	Orkla FK - Rosenborg II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
01.06.24	Orkla FK - Lillestrøm 2	4:2

Lillestrøm 2 - Orkla FK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide