Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday


	Lillestrøm 2		Stabæk 2

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.93	2.88
	1.83	5.19	2.87	Watch
	1.8	4.75	2.8
	1.69	4.6	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.33)	4.87 ↑ (4.05)	3.01 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
51.2%

Draw
18.6%

Stabæk 2
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

21.5%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lillestrøm 2's performance.

Stabæk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stabæk 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stabæk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Lillestrøm 2 - Stabæk 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lillestrøm 2 will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Stabæk 2 will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm 2: 59.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
38', 0 - 1, Cedergren A. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Cedergren A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 9).

Lillestrøm 2 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stabæk 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Lillestrøm 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
25.08.24	Rana - Lillestrøm 2	4:0 ✺
19.08.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Mosjøen	6:0 ✺
10.08.24	Verdal - Lillestrøm 2	0:4 ✺
03.08.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Melhus	5:2 ✺
27.07.24	Byåsen - Lillestrøm 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWW
- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
25.08.24	Stabæk 2 - Orkla FK	1:3 ✺
17.08.24	Stabæk 2 - Melhus	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Mosjøen - Stabæk 2	0:7 ✺
03.08.24	Stabæk 2 - Trygg Lade	0:5 ✺
28.07.24	Rana - Stabæk 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:4
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
17.07.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Stabæk 2	2:2
12.06.23	Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2	2:6

Lillestrøm 2 - Stabæk 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide